TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12398345
Played Aug 11Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11131513119811511
Pavlo Shulhachyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timePavlo Shulhachyk to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Pavlo Shulhachyk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 107 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Pavlo Shulhachyk at 58.0%
107 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 8–14 Pavlo Shulhachyk Yurii Zvolynskyi has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Shulhachyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-14 in 22
Shulhachyk
Correct
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1340 vs Shulhachyk 1342
Shulhachyk
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 40% vs Shulhachyk 60%
Shulhachyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 50% vs Shulhachyk 30%
Zvolynskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi -2 · Shulhachyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Shulhachyk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 2.25 / Shulhachyk 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Shulhachyk)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12398345
Zvolynskyi2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 43 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Shulhachyk1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it75% 39 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi2wins
AwayShulhachyk8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderShulhachyk leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyi20%1 of 5
AwayShulhachyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi5Shulhachyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Zvolynskyi2Shulhachyk8n = 10Shulhachyk took 8 of 10
S3Zvolynskyi4Shulhachyk6n = 10Shulhachyk took 6 of 10
S4Zvolynskyi3Shulhachyk3n = 6split evenly
S5Zvolynskyi1Shulhachyk4n = 5Shulhachyk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiShulhachykZ − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.840.6−5.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiShulhachykBasisWin rate · lifetime307 / 573 vs 207 / 34253.6%60.5%307 / 573 vs 207 / 342Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShulhachykZvolynskyi 2.25/Shulhachyk 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.9%
Shulhachyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shulhachyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi—11411972P. Shulhachyk—711911113
WAug 4 · 13:00Y. Zvolynskyi—5101111113P. Shulhachyk—11127852
WJul 29 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113P. Shulhachyk—6780
LJul 23 · 10:18Y. Zvolynskyi—113101172P. Shulhachyk—611123113
LJul 23 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi—2830P. Shulhachyk—1111113
LJul 12 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi—851141P. Shulhachyk—11114113
LJun 24 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi—11861172P. Shulhachyk—811116113
LJun 11 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi—14134692P. Shulhachyk—12111111113
LMay 19 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi—111740P. Shulhachyk—1319113
LApr 18 · 17:32Y. Zvolynskyi—10470P. Shulhachyk—1211113
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113LSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262WSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660WSep 3 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251111113V. Matviichuk3.759990WSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741
P. Shulhachyk10
LAug 27 · 09:30P. Shulhachyk2.006480P. Kolesnik1.731111113LAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113LAug 27 · 07:00P. Shulhachyk1.7381116542M. Pohorilyi2.001161411113LAug 27 · 06:00P. Shulhachyk3.259125101O. Torianyk1.33111011123WAug 18 · 10:28P. Shulhachyk1.671111113M. Pohorilyi2.101840WAug 18 · 09:00V. Simchuk2.636880P. Shulhachyk1.441111113WAug 18 · 07:30S. Honcharenko3.001041181P. Shulhachyk1.3612119113LAug 18 · 06:00I. Sorochan2.1011119113P. Shulhachyk1.67991191WAug 18 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.73815231P. Shulhachyk2.00111311113WAug 11 · 09:59I. Sorochan2.008350P. Shulhachyk1.731111113
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