TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022673
Played Aug 27Finished
Pavlo Shulhachyk
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611411811––––
Petr Kolesnik
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timePetr Kolesnik to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingPavlo Shulhachyk above · Petr Kolesnik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 51 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Petr Kolesnik at 56.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Shulhachyk 3–5 Petr Kolesnik Pavlo Shulhachyk has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolesnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Kolesnik
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shulhachyk 1395 vs Kolesnik 1551
Kolesnik
Correct
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shulhachyk 40% vs Kolesnik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shulhachyk 60% vs Kolesnik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shulhachyk -3 · Kolesnik +1
Shulhachyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kolesnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolesnik form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShulhachyk 2.00 / Kolesnik 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kolesnik)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13022673
Shulhachyk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 18 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back24% 6 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Kolesnik1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 88 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it84% 67 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeShulhachyk3wins
AwayKolesnik5wins
3 of 8 to a deciderKolesnik leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShulhachyk66.7%2 of 3
AwayKolesnik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shulhachyk3Kolesnik5n = 8Kolesnik took 5 of 8
S2Shulhachyk5Kolesnik3n = 8Shulhachyk took 5 of 8
S3Shulhachyk4Kolesnik4n = 8split evenly
S4Shulhachyk4Kolesnik2n = 6Shulhachyk took 4 of 6
S5Shulhachyk0Kolesnik3n = 3Kolesnik took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricShulhachykKolesnikS − KBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match37.141.4−4.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShulhachykKolesnikBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 308 vs 178 / 31859.7%56%184 / 308 vs 178 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnikShulhachyk 2.00/Kolesnik 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Kolesnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolesnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJul 23 · 06:30P. Shulhachyk—11115113P. Kolesnik—971181
WJul 22 · 16:00P. Shulhachyk—1211133P. Kolesnik—108110
LJul 16 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk—101391162P. Kolesnik—1211119113
WMar 12 · 09:30P. Shulhachyk—71112133P. Kolesnik—11910111
LMar 4 · 17:00P. Shulhachyk—2540P. Kolesnik—1111113
LFeb 21 · 07:30P. Shulhachyk—9111081P. Kolesnik—11612113
LJun 27 · 08:00P. Shulhachyk—12611742P. Kolesnik—1011911103
LJun 20 · 15:00P. Shulhachyk—97111142P. Kolesnik—111187113
P. Shulhachyk10
LAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113LAug 27 · 07:00P. Shulhachyk1.7381116542M. Pohorilyi2.001161411113LAug 27 · 06:00P. Shulhachyk3.259125101O. Torianyk1.33111011123WAug 18 · 10:28P. Shulhachyk1.671111113M. Pohorilyi2.101840WAug 18 · 09:00V. Simchuk2.636880P. Shulhachyk1.441111113WAug 18 · 07:30S. Honcharenko3.001041181P. Shulhachyk1.3612119113LAug 18 · 06:00I. Sorochan2.1011119113P. Shulhachyk1.67991191WAug 18 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.73815231P. Shulhachyk2.00111311113WAug 11 · 09:59I. Sorochan2.008350P. Shulhachyk1.731111113WAug 11 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.25111511852P. Shulhachyk1.571313911113
P. Kolesnik10
LSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113LSep 2 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.00912811123P. Kolesnik1.731110114102WSep 2 · 08:00P. Kolesnik1.251111113Y. Zvolynskyi3.756840WSep 2 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.101111113N. Priadko1.678770WSep 2 · 05:00P. Kolesnik1.331111113M. Pohorilyi3.256950LSep 1 · 17:09P. Kolesnik1.28115881M. Pohorilyi3.5081111113LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.1014951372N. Priadko1.6712111111113LSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891WSep 1 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.5057111182P. Kolesnik1.28111158113WSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113
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