TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061130
Played Sep 2Finished
Petr Kolesnik
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118114––––
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:43 and never touched — 77.8% is still 77.8%
Graded at full timePetr Kolesnik to win
77.8%
77.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Kolesnik above · Yurii Zvolynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 51 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Petr Kolesnik at 77.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H Petr Kolesnik 3–0 Yurii Zvolynskyi Yurii Zvolynskyi has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Kolesnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Kolesnik
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnik 1519 vs Zvolynskyi 1285
Kolesnik
Correct
both rated, 234 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnik 40% vs Zvolynskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnik 60% vs Zvolynskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnik +2 · Zvolynskyi -3
Zvolynskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Kolesnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zvolynskyi form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnik 1.25 / Zvolynskyi 3.75
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Kolesnik)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13061130
Kolesnik1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite66% won 88 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it95% 53 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it84% 69 of 82
Zvolynskyi3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog31% won 41 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKolesnik3wins
AwayZvolynskyi0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKolesnik leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnik2Zvolynskyi1n = 3Kolesnik took 2 of 3
S2Kolesnik2Zvolynskyi1n = 3Kolesnik took 2 of 3
S3Kolesnik3Zvolynskyi0n = 3Kolesnik took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKolesnikZvolynskyiK − ZBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match42.333.0+9.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnikZvolynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 332 vs 303 / 57556%52.7%186 / 332 vs 303 / 575Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnikKolesnik 1.25/Zvolynskyi 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.8%
Kolesnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolesnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 23 · 09:30P. Kolesnik—1121117113Y. Zvolynskyi—51191992
WMar 31 · 09:30P. Kolesnik—1111113Y. Zvolynskyi—7440
WMar 19 · 07:30P. Kolesnik—91111113Y. Zvolynskyi—118391
P. Kolesnik10
LSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113LSep 2 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.00912811123P. Kolesnik1.731110114102WSep 2 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.101111113N. Priadko1.678770WSep 2 · 05:00P. Kolesnik1.331111113M. Pohorilyi3.256950LSep 1 · 17:09P. Kolesnik1.28115881M. Pohorilyi3.5081111113LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.1014951372N. Priadko1.6712111111113LSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891WSep 1 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.5057111182P. Kolesnik1.28111158113WSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113WAug 28 · 10:09P. Kolesnik2.201111113M. Denysenko1.615790
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113LSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262WSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660WSep 3 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251111113V. Matviichuk3.759990WSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741
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