TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066875
Played Sep 3Finished
Viktor Hyriavyi
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611119118114––
Vasyl Matviichuk
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:18 and never touched — 69.9% is still 69.9%
Graded at full timeVasyl Matviichuk to win
69.9%
69.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViktor Hyriavyi above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 71 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Vasyl Matviichuk at 69.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Hyriavyi 32–49 Vasyl Matviichuk Viktor Hyriavyi has won 32 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:18What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Matviichuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-49 in 81
Matviichuk
Wrong
gap of 17 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyriavyi 1000 vs Matviichuk 1131
Matviichuk
Wrong
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyriavyi 20% vs Matviichuk 60%
Matviichuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyriavyi 40% vs Matviichuk 70%
Matviichuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyriavyi -4 · Matviichuk -1
Hyriavyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Matviichuk) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyriavyi 3.25 / Matviichuk 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 75%
Edge (Matviichuk)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13066875
Hyriavyi3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 27 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Matviichuk1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 73 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it82% 58 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHyriavyi3wins
AwayMatviichuk7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMatviichuk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyriavyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMatviichuk87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyriavyi2Matviichuk8n = 10Matviichuk took 8 of 10
S2Hyriavyi4Matviichuk6n = 10Matviichuk took 6 of 10
S3Hyriavyi7Matviichuk3n = 10Hyriavyi took 7 of 10
S4Hyriavyi1Matviichuk6n = 7Matviichuk took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHyriavyiMatviichukH − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.539.4−7.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyriavyiMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 348 vs 291 / 61531.6%47.3%110 / 348 vs 291 / 615Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.036.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatviichukHyriavyi 3.25/Matviichuk 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.5%
Matviichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hyriavyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 07:00V. Hyriavyi—441231V. Matviichuk—111110113
WAug 19 · 10:29V. Hyriavyi—111159113V. Matviichuk—89111172
WAug 19 · 05:00V. Hyriavyi—1111153V. Matviichuk—75130
LAug 7 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi—10411111V. Matviichuk—12119133
LAug 3 · 10:28V. Hyriavyi—61111912V. Matviichuk—119911113
LAug 3 · 08:00V. Hyriavyi—3920V. Matviichuk—1111113
LJul 21 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi—10350V. Matviichuk—1211113
LJun 23 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi—391271V. Matviichuk—111110113
WJun 16 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi—61111113V. Matviichuk—116791
LMay 26 · 08:30V. Hyriavyi—771171V. Matviichuk—11118113
V. Hyriavyi10
LSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113LSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432WSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871LSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660LSep 3 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi1.80961191S. Zherykhin1.9111118113LSep 3 · 06:30S. Honcharenko1.281111113V. Hyriavyi3.505750LAug 31 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi2.63116141Y. Urezchenko1.4481111113
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113LSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420LSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691WSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871
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