TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037637
Played Aug 29Finished
Anatoliy Lysyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111181131210––
Anton Danylov
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnatoliy Lysyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatoliy Lysyi above · Anton Danylov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 73 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Anatoliy Lysyi at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Anatoliy Lysyi 11–5 Anton Danylov Anton Danylov has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lysyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-5 in 16
Lysyi
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysyi 1132 vs Danylov 1113
Lysyi
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysyi 20% vs Danylov 60%
Danylov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysyi 60% vs Danylov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysyi +1 · Danylov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Lysyi) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysyi 1.73 / Danylov 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Lysyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13037637
Lysyi1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite74% won 55 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it82% 40 of 49
Danylov2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 25 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back11% 6 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysyi6wins
AwayDanylov4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLysyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayDanylov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysyi6Danylov4n = 10Lysyi took 6 of 10
S2Lysyi5Danylov5n = 10split evenly
S3Lysyi6Danylov4n = 10Lysyi took 6 of 10
S4Lysyi3Danylov3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysyiDanylovL − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.635.7+0.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysyiDanylovBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 403 vs 35 / 11342.7%31%172 / 403 vs 35 / 113Avg sets wonper match1.81.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.433.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysyiLysyi 1.73/Danylov 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Lysyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lysyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 16 · 13:30A. Lysyi—9750A. Danylov—1111113
LAug 2 · 15:30A. Lysyi—12512101A. Danylov—101114123
LJul 4 · 10:29A. Lysyi—6780A. Danylov—1111113
WJul 4 · 08:30A. Lysyi—1111113A. Danylov—9680
WJun 27 · 07:30A. Lysyi—511118113A. Danylov—11461192
WJun 14 · 08:30A. Lysyi—1311123A. Danylov—119100
WJun 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi—11911133A. Danylov—5118111
WMay 23 · 07:30A. Lysyi—91111113A. Danylov—119491
WMay 1 · 12:30A. Lysyi—11613113A. Danylov—7111131
LApr 19 · 10:01A. Lysyi—111211632A. Danylov—5101311113
A. Lysyi10
WSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113LSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063LSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581WSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171
A. Danylov10
WSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113LSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113WAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432LAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981WAug 29 · 13:00V. Yarovyi2.50711781A. Danylov1.5011311113WAug 29 · 12:00S. Zherykhin1.67161151A. Danylov2.1011119113LAug 16 · 17:30A. Danylov3.752111061M. Zavoloka1.2511712113
Upcoming Matches
A. Lysyi
A. Danylov
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.