TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055057
Played Sep 1Finished
Yurii Urezchenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111171161113116
Stanislav Zherykhin
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeYurii Urezchenko to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Urezchenko above · Stanislav Zherykhin below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 92 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Yurii Urezchenko at 57.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Urezchenko 1–1 Stanislav Zherykhin Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Urezchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Urezchenko 1114 vs Zherykhin 980
Urezchenko
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urezchenko 60% vs Zherykhin 20%
Urezchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urezchenko 50% vs Zherykhin 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urezchenko +1 · Zherykhin -4
Zherykhin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Urezchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zherykhin form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrezchenko 1.61 / Zherykhin 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Urezchenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055057
Urezchenko1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 58 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it77% 41 of 53
Zherykhin2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 10 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back19% 4 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeUrezchenko1wins
AwayZherykhin1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricUrezchenkoZherykhinU − ZBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match44.042.5+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrezchenkoZherykhinBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 470 vs 18 / 5744.3%31.6%208 / 470 vs 18 / 57Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.935.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrezchenkoUrezchenko 1.61/Zherykhin 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Urezchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Urezchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 12 · 17:03Y. Urezchenko—11118852S. Zherykhin—761111113
WJul 12 · 16:00Y. Urezchenko—121111113S. Zherykhin—1013881
Y. Urezchenko10
WSep 7 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.381111133O. Badanin1.5388110WSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173LSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113LSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko5.503520V. Kurliuk1.13111133LSep 1 · 10:13O. Badanin1.751111113Y. Urezchenko1.953450LSep 1 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.616111111113Y. Urezchenko2.2011138662WSep 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.2011114113O. Badanin1.61781191
S. Zherykhin10
LSep 7 · 09:00O. Badanin1.3311131110113S. Zherykhin3.2561551292LSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432LSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113WSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.