TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13005382
Played Aug 25Finished
Yurii Urezchenko
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1117111191113––
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:57 and never touched — 81.9% is still 81.9%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
81.9%
81.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Urezchenko above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 74 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 81.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Urezchenko 2–5 Mykola Zavoloka Yurii Urezchenko has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Zavoloka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Zavoloka
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urezchenko 1059 vs Zavoloka 1233
Zavoloka
Correct
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urezchenko 20% vs Zavoloka 80%
Zavoloka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urezchenko 30% vs Zavoloka 50%
Zavoloka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urezchenko +1 · Zavoloka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Zavoloka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urezchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrezchenko 3.25 / Zavoloka 1.33
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Zavoloka)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #13005382
Urezchenko3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 37 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back13% 12 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Zavoloka1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 23 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it76% 19 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeUrezchenko2wins
AwayZavoloka5wins
2 of 7 to a deciderZavoloka leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrezchenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayZavoloka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urezchenko1Zavoloka6n = 7Zavoloka took 6 of 7
S2Urezchenko4Zavoloka3n = 7Urezchenko took 4 of 7
S3Urezchenko1Zavoloka6n = 7Zavoloka took 6 of 7
S4Urezchenko2Zavoloka1n = 3Urezchenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricUrezchenkoZavolokaU − ZBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match33.138.1−5.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrezchenkoZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 470 vs 29 / 4844.3%60.4%208 / 470 vs 29 / 48Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaUrezchenko 3.25/Zavoloka 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.9%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 24 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko—78110M. Zavoloka—1111133
WAug 17 · 06:00Y. Urezchenko—6131411123M. Zavoloka—1111166102
LJul 8 · 10:00Y. Urezchenko—31130M. Zavoloka—1113113
LJul 8 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko—4119101M. Zavoloka—11711123
LJul 7 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko—91151162M. Zavoloka—116115113
LJun 29 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko—15440M. Zavoloka—1711113
WJun 28 · 13:58Y. Urezchenko—1111123M. Zavoloka—36100
Y. Urezchenko10
WSep 7 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.381111133O. Badanin1.5388110WSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173LSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113LSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko5.503520V. Kurliuk1.13111133LSep 1 · 10:13O. Badanin1.751111113Y. Urezchenko1.953450LSep 1 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.616111111113Y. Urezchenko2.2011138662WSep 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.2011114113O. Badanin1.61781191
M. Zavoloka10
WAug 25 · 10:39M. Zavoloka1.831114113S. Honcharenko1.8391250LAug 25 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.20133611113M. Zavoloka1.61111111992LAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.57119911113M. Zavoloka2.2571111952WAug 25 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011115992M. Zavoloka1.73391111113LAug 24 · 10:28M. Zavoloka1.739450S. Honcharenko2.001111113WAug 24 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.9111311642M. Zavoloka1.80911911113WAug 24 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.505156111M. Zavoloka1.50111311133WAug 24 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.731171461M. Zavoloka2.00131112113WAug 24 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko2.7578110M. Zavoloka1.401111133LAug 23 · 16:58R. Sveshnykov1.4411128113M. Zavoloka2.636101181
Upcoming Matches
Y. Urezchenko
M. Zavoloka
Nothing scheduled
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