TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12481868
Played Aug 24Finished
Anatoliy Lysyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
51115136111113––
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatoliy Lysyi above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 85 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 60.8%
85 points played in total.
H2H Anatoliy Lysyi 2–3 Mykola Zavoloka Anatoliy Lysyi has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zavoloka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysyi 1136 vs Zavoloka 1248
Zavoloka
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysyi 100% vs Zavoloka 40%
Lysyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysyi 70% vs Zavoloka 30%
Lysyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysyi +5 · Zavoloka +2
Lysyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Zavoloka) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zavoloka form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysyi 2.50 / Zavoloka 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Zavoloka)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #12481868
Lysyi2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 31 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back11% 7 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Zavoloka1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 26 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it78% 21 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeLysyi2wins
AwayZavoloka3wins
Zavoloka leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayZavoloka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysyi1Zavoloka4n = 5Zavoloka took 4 of 5
S2Lysyi3Zavoloka2n = 5Lysyi took 3 of 5
S3Lysyi2Zavoloka3n = 5Zavoloka took 3 of 5
S4Lysyi2Zavoloka2n = 4split evenly
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricLysyiZavolokaL − ZBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match34.837.8−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysyiZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 401 vs 32 / 5342.6%60.4%171 / 401 vs 32 / 53Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaLysyi 2.50/Zavoloka 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 24 · 07:30A. Lysyi—5156111M. Zavoloka—111311133
WAug 17 · 07:30A. Lysyi—81111113M. Zavoloka—115691
LAug 16 · 15:30A. Lysyi—8670M. Zavoloka—1111113
WJul 27 · 07:30A. Lysyi—91113113M. Zavoloka—1131191
LJun 29 · 08:28A. Lysyi—129641M. Zavoloka—101111113
A. Lysyi10
WSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113LSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063LSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581WSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171
M. Zavoloka10
WAug 25 · 10:39M. Zavoloka1.831114113S. Honcharenko1.8391250LAug 25 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.20133611113M. Zavoloka1.61111111992LAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.57119911113M. Zavoloka2.2571111952WAug 25 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011115992M. Zavoloka1.73391111113WAug 25 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.251711111M. Zavoloka1.3311119133LAug 24 · 10:28M. Zavoloka1.739450S. Honcharenko2.001111113WAug 24 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.9111311642M. Zavoloka1.80911911113WAug 24 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.731171461M. Zavoloka2.00131112113WAug 24 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko2.7578110M. Zavoloka1.401111133LAug 23 · 16:58R. Sveshnykov1.4411128113M. Zavoloka2.636101181
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