TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13005342
Played Aug 25Finished
Vasyl Matviichuk
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311311611119119
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVasyl Matviichuk above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 95 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 57.7%
95 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Matviichuk 4–2 Mykola Zavoloka Mykola Zavoloka has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:53What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zavoloka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Matviichuk
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Matviichuk 1057 vs Zavoloka 1244
Zavoloka
Wrong
both rated, 188 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Matviichuk 20% vs Zavoloka 60%
Zavoloka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Matviichuk 30% vs Zavoloka 60%
Zavoloka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Matviichuk -3 · Zavoloka -1
Matviichuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Zavoloka) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatviichuk 2.20 / Zavoloka 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Zavoloka)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13005342
Matviichuk2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 29 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back7% 4 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Zavoloka1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 23 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it76% 19 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMatviichuk4wins
AwayZavoloka2wins
4 of 6 to a deciderMatviichuk leads 4–2, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMatviichuk66.7%2 of 3
AwayZavoloka33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Matviichuk3Zavoloka3n = 6split evenly
S2Matviichuk4Zavoloka2n = 6Matviichuk took 4 of 6
S3Matviichuk5Zavoloka1n = 6Matviichuk took 5 of 6
S4Matviichuk2Zavoloka3n = 5Zavoloka took 3 of 5
S5Matviichuk2Zavoloka2n = 4split evenly
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMatviichukZavolokaM − ZBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match44.842.7+2.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatviichukZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 622 vs 31 / 5147%60.8%292 / 622 vs 31 / 51Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaMatviichuk 2.20/Zavoloka 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Matviichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 24 · 09:00V. Matviichuk—11311642M. Zavoloka—911911113
WJul 8 · 09:00V. Matviichuk—111311113M. Zavoloka—9111391
LJul 8 · 06:30V. Matviichuk—811119122M. Zavoloka—118911143
WJul 7 · 07:00V. Matviichuk—10111111113M. Zavoloka—12541362
WJun 29 · 10:28V. Matviichuk—1111113M. Zavoloka—8790
WJun 29 · 07:00V. Matviichuk—981111113M. Zavoloka—11117982
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113LSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420LSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691WSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871
M. Zavoloka10
WAug 25 · 10:39M. Zavoloka1.831114113S. Honcharenko1.8391250LAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.57119911113M. Zavoloka2.2571111952WAug 25 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011115992M. Zavoloka1.73391111113WAug 25 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.251711111M. Zavoloka1.3311119133LAug 24 · 10:28M. Zavoloka1.739450S. Honcharenko2.001111113WAug 24 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.9111311642M. Zavoloka1.80911911113WAug 24 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.505156111M. Zavoloka1.50111311133WAug 24 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.731171461M. Zavoloka2.00131112113WAug 24 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko2.7578110M. Zavoloka1.401111133LAug 23 · 16:58R. Sveshnykov1.4411128113M. Zavoloka2.636101181
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