TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12481714
Played Aug 24Finished
Yurii Urezchenko
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7118111113––––
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:37 and never touched — 71.3% is still 71.3%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
71.3%
71.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Urezchenko above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 61 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 71.3%
61 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Urezchenko 2–4 Mykola Zavoloka Yurii Urezchenko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Zavoloka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Zavoloka
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urezchenko 1068 vs Zavoloka 1195
Zavoloka
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urezchenko 20% vs Zavoloka 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urezchenko 50% vs Zavoloka 30%
Urezchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urezchenko -2 · Zavoloka -3
Zavoloka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Zavoloka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zavoloka form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrezchenko 2.75 / Zavoloka 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Zavoloka)+5.0pp
Setka Cup · #12481714
Urezchenko2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 37 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back12% 11 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Zavoloka1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 20 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it74% 17 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeUrezchenko2wins
AwayZavoloka4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderZavoloka leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrezchenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayZavoloka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urezchenko1Zavoloka5n = 6Zavoloka took 5 of 6
S2Urezchenko4Zavoloka2n = 6Urezchenko took 4 of 6
S3Urezchenko1Zavoloka5n = 6Zavoloka took 5 of 6
S4Urezchenko2Zavoloka1n = 3Urezchenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricUrezchenkoZavolokaU − ZBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match34.338.7−4.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrezchenkoZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 466 vs 25 / 4344.4%58.1%207 / 466 vs 25 / 43Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaUrezchenko 2.75/Zavoloka 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.3%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 17 · 06:00Y. Urezchenko—6131411123M. Zavoloka—1111166102
LJul 8 · 10:00Y. Urezchenko—31130M. Zavoloka—1113113
LJul 8 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko—4119101M. Zavoloka—11711123
LJul 7 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko—91151162M. Zavoloka—116115113
LJun 29 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko—15440M. Zavoloka—1711113
WJun 28 · 13:58Y. Urezchenko—1111123M. Zavoloka—36100
Y. Urezchenko10
WSep 7 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.381111133O. Badanin1.5388110WSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173LSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113LSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko5.503520V. Kurliuk1.13111133LSep 1 · 10:13O. Badanin1.751111113Y. Urezchenko1.953450LSep 1 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.616111111113Y. Urezchenko2.2011138662WSep 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.2011114113O. Badanin1.61781191
M. Zavoloka10
WAug 25 · 10:39M. Zavoloka1.831114113S. Honcharenko1.8391250LAug 25 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.20133611113M. Zavoloka1.61111111992LAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.57119911113M. Zavoloka2.2571111952WAug 25 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011115992M. Zavoloka1.73391111113WAug 25 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.251711111M. Zavoloka1.3311119133LAug 24 · 10:28M. Zavoloka1.739450S. Honcharenko2.001111113WAug 24 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.9111311642M. Zavoloka1.80911911113WAug 24 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.505156111M. Zavoloka1.50111311133WAug 24 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.731171461M. Zavoloka2.00131112113LAug 23 · 16:58R. Sveshnykov1.4411128113M. Zavoloka2.636101181
Upcoming Matches
Y. Urezchenko
M. Zavoloka
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