TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13005346
Played Aug 25Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117911911119115
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:55 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Honcharenko to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 94 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Serhii Honcharenko at 61.5%
94 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 4–2 Mykola Zavoloka Mykola Zavoloka has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Honcharenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Honcharenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Honcharenko 1353 vs Zavoloka 1253
Honcharenko
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Honcharenko 80% vs Zavoloka 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Honcharenko 70% vs Zavoloka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Honcharenko +3 · Zavoloka +2
Honcharenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Honcharenko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zavoloka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 1.57 / Zavoloka 2.25
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Honcharenko)+5.0pp
Setka Cup · #13005346
Honcharenko1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 82 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it82% 65 of 79
Zavoloka2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 6 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 5
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeHoncharenko4wins
AwayZavoloka2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderHoncharenko leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoncharenko100%3 of 3
AwayZavoloka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko3Zavoloka3n = 6split evenly
S2Honcharenko4Zavoloka2n = 6Honcharenko took 4 of 6
S3Honcharenko4Zavoloka2n = 6Honcharenko took 4 of 6
S4Honcharenko1Zavoloka3n = 4Zavoloka took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoZavolokaH − ZBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match41.738.0+3.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime404 / 807 vs 31 / 5050.1%62%404 / 807 vs 31 / 50Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoncharenkoHoncharenko 1.57/Zavoloka 2.25
Hit
What we said
63.9%
Honcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Honcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 24 · 10:28S. Honcharenko—1111113M. Zavoloka—9450
LAug 24 · 06:00S. Honcharenko—1171461M. Zavoloka—131112113
WAug 23 · 13:00S. Honcharenko—9141110113M. Zavoloka—111261282
WJul 8 · 08:30S. Honcharenko—119711113M. Zavoloka—91111792
LJul 8 · 07:30S. Honcharenko—10118111M. Zavoloka—12711133
WJul 7 · 06:00S. Honcharenko—1311113M. Zavoloka—11940
S. Honcharenko10
WSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173WSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890WSep 5 · 17:33I. Sorochan2.07611111062S. Honcharenko1.67118912113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:00S. Honcharenko1.911111118113I. Sorochan1.8058131192WSep 5 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.4411411103A. Lysyi2.63511871WSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691
M. Zavoloka10
WAug 25 · 10:39M. Zavoloka1.831114113S. Honcharenko1.8391250LAug 25 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.20133611113M. Zavoloka1.61111111992WAug 25 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011115992M. Zavoloka1.73391111113WAug 25 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.251711111M. Zavoloka1.3311119133LAug 24 · 10:28M. Zavoloka1.739450S. Honcharenko2.001111113WAug 24 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.9111311642M. Zavoloka1.80911911113WAug 24 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.505156111M. Zavoloka1.50111311133WAug 24 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.731171461M. Zavoloka2.00131112113WAug 24 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko2.7578110M. Zavoloka1.401111133LAug 23 · 16:58R. Sveshnykov1.4411128113M. Zavoloka2.636101181
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