TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13005376
Played Aug 25Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
113119511911911
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Zvolynskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 90 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Yurii Zvolynskyi at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 0–2 Mykola Zavoloka Yurii Zvolynskyi has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:57What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zavoloka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1222 vs Zavoloka 1248
Zavoloka
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 20% vs Zavoloka 80%
Zavoloka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 20% vs Zavoloka 60%
Zavoloka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi -1 · Zavoloka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zavoloka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zavoloka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 2.00 / Zavoloka 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zavoloka)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13005376
Zvolynskyi2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 39 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 52
Zavoloka1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 26 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it78% 21 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi0wins
AwayZavoloka2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderZavoloka leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiZavolokaZvolynskyi − ZavolokaBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match33.039.0−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime297 / 568 vs 32 / 5352.3%60.4%297 / 568 vs 32 / 53Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaZvolynskyi 2.00/Zavoloka 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 25 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi—11115992M. Zavoloka—391111113
LAug 23 · 14:00Y. Zvolynskyi—7950M. Zavoloka—1111113
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113LSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262WSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660WSep 3 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251111113V. Matviichuk3.759990WSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741
M. Zavoloka10
WAug 25 · 10:39M. Zavoloka1.831114113S. Honcharenko1.8391250LAug 25 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.20133611113M. Zavoloka1.61111111992LAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.57119911113M. Zavoloka2.2571111952WAug 25 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.251711111M. Zavoloka1.3311119133LAug 24 · 10:28M. Zavoloka1.739450S. Honcharenko2.001111113WAug 24 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.9111311642M. Zavoloka1.80911911113WAug 24 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.505156111M. Zavoloka1.50111311133WAug 24 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.731171461M. Zavoloka2.00131112113WAug 24 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko2.7578110M. Zavoloka1.401111133LAug 23 · 16:58R. Sveshnykov1.4411128113M. Zavoloka2.636101181
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