TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12481719
Played Aug 24Finished
Vasyl Matviichuk
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119311119611411
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Matviichuk above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 86 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 56.5%
86 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Matviichuk 4–1 Mykola Zavoloka Mykola Zavoloka has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:33What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zavoloka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Matviichuk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Matviichuk 1072 vs Zavoloka 1238
Zavoloka
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Matviichuk 40% vs Zavoloka 60%
Zavoloka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Matviichuk 20% vs Zavoloka 40%
Zavoloka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Matviichuk +1 · Zavoloka +3
Zavoloka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zavoloka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatviichuk 1.91 / Zavoloka 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Zavoloka)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12481719
Matviichuk1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 29 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back7% 4 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Zavoloka1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 20 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it74% 17 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMatviichuk4wins
AwayZavoloka1wins
3 of 5 to a deciderMatviichuk leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMatviichukn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZavoloka33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Matviichuk2Zavoloka3n = 5Zavoloka took 3 of 5
S2Matviichuk4Zavoloka1n = 5Matviichuk took 4 of 5
S3Matviichuk4Zavoloka1n = 5Matviichuk took 4 of 5
S4Matviichuk2Zavoloka2n = 4split evenly
S5Matviichuk2Zavoloka1n = 3Matviichuk took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricMatviichukZavolokaM − ZBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match46.841.0+5.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatviichukZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime293 / 624 vs 28 / 4647%60.9%293 / 624 vs 28 / 46Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaMatviichuk 1.91/Zavoloka 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJul 8 · 09:00V. Matviichuk—111311113M. Zavoloka—9111391
LJul 8 · 06:30V. Matviichuk—811119122M. Zavoloka—118911143
WJul 7 · 07:00V. Matviichuk—10111111113M. Zavoloka—12541362
WJun 29 · 10:28V. Matviichuk—1111113M. Zavoloka—8790
WJun 29 · 07:00V. Matviichuk—981111113M. Zavoloka—11117982
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113LSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420LSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691WSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871
M. Zavoloka10
WAug 25 · 10:39M. Zavoloka1.831114113S. Honcharenko1.8391250LAug 25 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.20133611113M. Zavoloka1.61111111992LAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.57119911113M. Zavoloka2.2571111952WAug 25 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011115992M. Zavoloka1.73391111113WAug 25 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.251711111M. Zavoloka1.3311119133LAug 24 · 10:28M. Zavoloka1.739450S. Honcharenko2.001111113WAug 24 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.505156111M. Zavoloka1.50111311133WAug 24 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.731171461M. Zavoloka2.00131112113WAug 24 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko2.7578110M. Zavoloka1.401111133LAug 23 · 16:58R. Sveshnykov1.4411128113M. Zavoloka2.636101181
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