Pavel Vinansky vs Tomas Lysek 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12482046

Played Aug 24Finished

Pavel Vinansky

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

911117112118––

Tomas Lysek

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 65.9% is still 65.9%

Graded at full time

Pavel Vinansky to win

65.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingPavel Vinansky above · Tomas Lysek below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 11-2

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 70 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Pavel Vinansky at 65.9%

70 points played in total.

H2H Pavel Vinansky 2–2 Tomas Lysek Dead even across their 4 meetings.

Last 4 · 2–2Head to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 21:56

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Vinansky

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

2-2 in 4

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Vinansky 1619 vs Lysek 1464

Vinansky

Correct

both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vinansky 60% vs Lysek 40%

Vinansky

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vinansky 80% vs Lysek 40%

Vinansky

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Vinansky -1 · Lysek +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Vinansky)

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVinansky 1.57 / Lysek 2.25

Signal prob.66% / 34%

Edge (Vinansky)+7.0pp

TT Cup · #12482046

Vinansky1.57

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite81% won 30 of 37

Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8

Up 1–0, closes it89% 16 of 18

Lysek2.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog49% won 19 of 39

Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 18

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeVinansky2wins

AwayLysek2wins

2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVinanskyn = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayLysek66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vinansky1Lysek3n = 4Lysek took 3 of 4

S2Vinansky2Lysek2n = 4split evenly

S3Vinansky3Lysek1n = 4Vinansky took 3 of 4

S4Vinansky2Lysek2n = 4split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home125%

3–2Decider, home125%

2–3Decider, away125%

1–3Four sets, away125%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 4 meetings

MetricVinanskyLysekV − LBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match42.242.0+0.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVinanskyLysekBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 103 vs 115 / 21660.2%53.2%62 / 103 vs 115 / 216Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Vinansky

Vinansky 1.57/Lysek 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

65.9%

Vinansky · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Vinansky won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record4

WAug 24 · 11:45P. Vinansky—91111113T. Lysek—117281

WAug 17 · 12:45P. Vinansky—116127113T. Lysek—911101162

LAug 17 · 10:15P. Vinansky—71141262T. Lysek—1151110113

LJul 8 · 13:45P. Vinansky—10811111T. Lysek—12119133

P. Vinansky10

WAug 27 · 08:43P. Vinansky1.80111157113D. Jr1.9143111192 WAug 27 · 07:45D. Jr1.80514751P. Vinansky1.91111211113 LAug 27 · 07:15A. Kanak2.00129311113P. Vinansky1.73101111662 LAug 27 · 06:15P. Vinansky1.731311811112J. Przybyla2.001181113133 LAug 25 · 09:10L. Kantor2.10111110173P. Vinansky1.676712151 LAug 25 · 07:45P. Vinansky1.5061141232L. Kantor2.501161110113 WAug 25 · 06:45P. Vinansky1.401111113O. Kus2.756750 WAug 25 · 05:45P. Vinansky1.36111011123A. Drozd3.008123101 WAug 24 · 13:15O. Kus2.102970P. Vinansky1.671111113 LAug 24 · 10:45P. Vinansky1.4481171292O. Kus2.631151110113

T. Lysek10

WSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113 WSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132 LSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112 WSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113 WSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113 LSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981 LSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123 LSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101 WAug 28 · 17:10O. Kus2.107690T. Lysek1.671111113 WAug 28 · 15:45T. Lysek2.0091111113K. Baros1.73117791

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