TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13022889
Played Aug 27Finished
Pavel Vinansky
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
131111881111131113
Jan Przybyla
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:01 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timePavel Vinansky to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Vinansky above · Jan Przybyla below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 110 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Pavel Vinansky at 56.4%
110 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Vinansky 1–1 Jan Przybyla Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vinansky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vinansky 1609 vs Przybyla 1575
Vinansky
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vinansky 60% vs Przybyla 40%
Vinansky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vinansky 70% vs Przybyla 50%
Vinansky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vinansky -2 · Przybyla +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vinansky) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVinansky 1.73 / Przybyla 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Vinansky)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13022889
Vinansky1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite75% won 36 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Przybyla2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 54 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back31% 16 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVinansky1wins
AwayPrzybyla1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVinanskyPrzybylaV − PBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match48.043.5+4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVinanskyPrzybylaBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 112 vs 212 / 39959.8%53.1%67 / 112 vs 212 / 399Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinanskyVinansky 1.73/Przybyla 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Vinansky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Przybyla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 27 · 06:15P. Vinansky—1311811112J. Przybyla—1181113133
WJul 8 · 16:15P. Vinansky—91111113J. Przybyla—117761
P. Vinansky10
WAug 27 · 08:43P. Vinansky1.80111157113D. Jr1.9143111192WAug 27 · 07:45D. Jr1.80514751P. Vinansky1.91111211113LAug 27 · 07:15A. Kanak2.00129311113P. Vinansky1.73101111662LAug 25 · 09:10L. Kantor2.10111110173P. Vinansky1.676712151LAug 25 · 07:45P. Vinansky1.5061141232L. Kantor2.501161110113WAug 25 · 06:45P. Vinansky1.401111113O. Kus2.756750WAug 25 · 05:45P. Vinansky1.36111011123A. Drozd3.008123101WAug 24 · 13:15O. Kus2.102970P. Vinansky1.671111113WAug 24 · 11:45P. Vinansky1.5791111113T. Lysek2.25117281LAug 24 · 10:45P. Vinansky1.4481171292O. Kus2.631151110113
J. Przybyla10
LSep 10 · 16:40R. Solle1.73115118123J. Przybyla2.00511811102LSep 10 · 16:10J. Przybyla1.739940D. Branny2.001111113WSep 10 · 14:40L. Lasota1.57711101292J. Przybyla2.251151210113LSep 10 · 14:10R. Solle1.9112116113J. Przybyla1.801081181LSep 7 · 08:40D. Pawlik1.831171110113J. Przybyla1.8321161292LSep 7 · 08:10L. Lasota1.5711711113J. Przybyla2.25311691LSep 7 · 07:10J. Przybyla1.801713119112D. Pawlik1.911911811133LSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580LSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113WSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113
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