TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13011435
Played Aug 25Finished
Lukas Kantor
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11611710121715––
Pavel Vinansky
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timePavel Vinansky to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Kantor above · Pavel Vinansky below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 17-15
Point 89 set 4, 17-15 — our read held Pavel Vinansky at 63.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Kantor 1–2 Pavel Vinansky Lukas Kantor has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 08:57What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vinansky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kantor 1498 vs Vinansky 1622
Vinansky
Wrong
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kantor 100% vs Vinansky 80%
Kantor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kantor 70% vs Vinansky 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kantor +5 · Vinansky -1
Kantor
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Vinansky) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinansky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKantor 2.10 / Vinansky 1.67
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Vinansky)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #13011435
Kantor2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 54 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Vinansky1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite81% won 33 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKantor1wins
AwayVinansky2wins
3 of 3 to a deciderVinansky leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kantor1Vinansky2n = 3Vinansky took 2 of 3
S2Kantor2Vinansky1n = 3Kantor took 2 of 3
S3Kantor2Vinansky1n = 3Kantor took 2 of 3
S4Kantor1Vinansky2n = 3Vinansky took 2 of 3
S5Kantor1Vinansky2n = 3Vinansky took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKantorVinanskyK − VBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match46.048.7−2.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKantorVinanskyBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 319 vs 65 / 10749.8%60.8%159 / 319 vs 65 / 107Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinanskyKantor 2.10/Vinansky 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.8%
Vinansky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kantor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 25 · 07:45L. Kantor—1161110113P. Vinansky—61141232
LAug 18 · 06:10L. Kantor—61451142P. Vinansky—1112119113
LJul 6 · 10:10L. Kantor—81215952P. Vinansky—11101311113
L. Kantor10
WSep 9 · 12:39R. Benes1.4091270L. Kantor2.751114113LSep 9 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.3611117113L. Kantor3.00771171LSep 9 · 11:10L. Kantor2.63691161R. Benes1.4411118113LSep 9 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.5710141511113L. Kantor2.25121217592LSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113WSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112LSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113WSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101LSep 3 · 12:45L. Kantor2.208890J. Krupnik1.611111113LSep 3 · 12:10D. Pawlik1.5711117113L. Kantor2.25861191
P. Vinansky10
WAug 27 · 08:43P. Vinansky1.80111157113D. Jr1.9143111192WAug 27 · 07:45D. Jr1.80514751P. Vinansky1.91111211113LAug 27 · 07:15A. Kanak2.00129311113P. Vinansky1.73101111662LAug 27 · 06:15P. Vinansky1.731311811112J. Przybyla2.001181113133LAug 25 · 07:45P. Vinansky1.5061141232L. Kantor2.501161110113WAug 25 · 06:45P. Vinansky1.401111113O. Kus2.756750WAug 25 · 05:45P. Vinansky1.36111011123A. Drozd3.008123101WAug 24 · 13:15O. Kus2.102970P. Vinansky1.671111113WAug 24 · 11:45P. Vinansky1.5791111113T. Lysek2.25117281LAug 24 · 10:45P. Vinansky1.4481171292O. Kus2.631151110113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.