TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13008279
Played Aug 25Finished
Pavel Vinansky
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111164111210311
Lukas Kantor
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:57 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timePavel Vinansky to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Vinansky above · Lukas Kantor below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 85 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Pavel Vinansky at 69.5%
85 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Vinansky 2–2 Lukas Kantor Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vinansky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vinansky 1606 vs Kantor 1544
Vinansky
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vinansky 80% vs Kantor 100%
Kantor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vinansky 80% vs Kantor 60%
Vinansky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vinansky +4 · Kantor +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Vinansky) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kantor form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVinansky 1.50 / Kantor 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Vinansky)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13008279
Vinansky1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite78% won 35 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Kantor2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 57 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVinansky2wins
AwayKantor2wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vinansky2Kantor2n = 4split evenly
S2Vinansky1Kantor3n = 4Kantor took 3 of 4
S3Vinansky2Kantor2n = 4split evenly
S4Vinansky2Kantor2n = 4split evenly
S5Vinansky2Kantor1n = 3Vinansky took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricVinanskyKantorV − KBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match46.546.8−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVinanskyKantorBasisWin rate · lifetime65 / 108 vs 163 / 32460.2%50.3%65 / 108 vs 163 / 324Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinanskyVinansky 1.50/Kantor 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Vinansky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kantor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 25 · 09:10P. Vinansky—6712151L. Kantor—111110173
LAug 25 · 07:45P. Vinansky—61141232L. Kantor—1161110113
WAug 18 · 06:10P. Vinansky—1112119113L. Kantor—61451142
WJul 6 · 10:10P. Vinansky—11101311113L. Kantor—81215952
P. Vinansky10
WAug 27 · 08:43P. Vinansky1.80111157113D. Jr1.9143111192WAug 27 · 07:45D. Jr1.80514751P. Vinansky1.91111211113LAug 27 · 07:15A. Kanak2.00129311113P. Vinansky1.73101111662LAug 27 · 06:15P. Vinansky1.731311811112J. Przybyla2.001181113133LAug 25 · 09:10L. Kantor2.10111110173P. Vinansky1.676712151WAug 25 · 06:45P. Vinansky1.401111113O. Kus2.756750WAug 25 · 05:45P. Vinansky1.36111011123A. Drozd3.008123101WAug 24 · 13:15O. Kus2.102970P. Vinansky1.671111113WAug 24 · 11:45P. Vinansky1.5791111113T. Lysek2.25117281LAug 24 · 10:45P. Vinansky1.4481171292O. Kus2.631151110113
L. Kantor10
WSep 9 · 12:39R. Benes1.4091270L. Kantor2.751114113LSep 9 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.3611117113L. Kantor3.00771171LSep 9 · 11:10L. Kantor2.63691161R. Benes1.4411118113LSep 9 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.5710141511113L. Kantor2.25121217592LSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113WSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112LSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113WSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101LSep 3 · 12:45L. Kantor2.208890J. Krupnik1.611111113WAug 25 · 09:10L. Kantor2.10111110173P. Vinansky1.676712151
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