TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13008273
Played Aug 25Finished
Pavel Vinansky
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117115––––
Ondrej Kus
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:57 and never touched — 76.3% is still 76.3%
Graded at full timePavel Vinansky to win
76.3%
76.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Vinansky above · Ondrej Kus below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Pavel Vinansky at 76.3%
51 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Vinansky 7–3 Ondrej Kus Ondrej Kus has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vinansky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Vinansky
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vinansky 1606 vs Kus 1392
Vinansky
Correct
both rated, 214 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vinansky 80% vs Kus 40%
Vinansky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vinansky 80% vs Kus 50%
Vinansky
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vinansky +3 · Kus -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Vinansky) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVinansky 1.40 / Kus 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Vinansky)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13008273
Vinansky1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite78% won 35 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Kus2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 72 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back27% 19 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVinansky7wins
AwayKus3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVinansky leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVinansky100%5 of 5
AwayKus60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vinansky5Kus5n = 10split evenly
S2Vinansky9Kus1n = 10Vinansky took 9 of 10
S3Vinansky6Kus4n = 10Vinansky took 6 of 10
S4Vinansky3Kus3n = 6split evenly
S5Vinansky2Kus1n = 3Vinansky took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVinanskyKusV − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.332.9+5.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVinanskyKusBasisWin rate · lifetime65 / 108 vs 246 / 49260.2%50%65 / 108 vs 246 / 492Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.836.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinanskyVinansky 1.40/Kus 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Vinansky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vinansky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 06:45P. Vinansky—1111113O. Kus—6750
WAug 24 · 13:15P. Vinansky—1111113O. Kus—2970
LAug 24 · 10:45P. Vinansky—81171292O. Kus—1151110113
LAug 10 · 14:45P. Vinansky—10117101O. Kus—12911123
WAug 6 · 16:10P. Vinansky—61111113O. Kus—117761
WJul 2 · 10:40P. Vinansky—911811113O. Kus—11711872
WJun 21 · 17:10P. Vinansky—1111113O. Kus—5740
LJun 21 · 14:40P. Vinansky—991141O. Kus—11119113
WJun 19 · 11:15P. Vinansky—111162113O. Kus—99111132
WJun 10 · 11:15P. Vinansky—1213113O. Kus—101140
P. Vinansky10
WAug 27 · 08:43P. Vinansky1.80111157113D. Jr1.9143111192WAug 27 · 07:45D. Jr1.80514751P. Vinansky1.91111211113LAug 27 · 07:15A. Kanak2.00129311113P. Vinansky1.73101111662LAug 27 · 06:15P. Vinansky1.731311811112J. Przybyla2.001181113133LAug 25 · 09:10L. Kantor2.10111110173P. Vinansky1.676712151LAug 25 · 07:45P. Vinansky1.5061141232L. Kantor2.501161110113WAug 25 · 05:45P. Vinansky1.36111011123A. Drozd3.008123101WAug 24 · 13:15O. Kus2.102970P. Vinansky1.671111113WAug 24 · 11:45P. Vinansky1.5791111113T. Lysek2.25117281LAug 24 · 10:45P. Vinansky1.4481171292O. Kus2.631151110113
O. Kus10
LSep 10 · 12:43O. Kus2.508148101L. Dzida1.50111211123WSep 10 · 12:10L. Dzida1.3071171192O. Kus3.40115118113LSep 10 · 11:10O. Kus2.20511111112R. Solle1.61111187133LSep 10 · 09:40T. Kindl1.5011118113O. Kus2.50981191LSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113LAug 24 · 13:15O. Kus2.102970P. Vinansky1.671111113WAug 24 · 10:45P. Vinansky1.4481171292O. Kus2.631151110113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.