TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029279
Played Aug 27Finished
Pavel Vinansky
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114113511711119
Dalibor Velky Jr
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPavel Vinansky above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 83 set 5, 11-9
83 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Vinansky 1–0 Dalibor Velky Jr Dalibor Velky Jr has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vinansky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinansky form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVinansky 1.80 / Jr 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vinansky)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13029279
Vinansky1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite78% won 35 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Jr1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 114 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back32% 34 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVinansky1wins
AwayJr0wins
Vinansky leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVinanskyJrV − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.031.0+14.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVinanskyJrBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 111 vs 238 / 47059.5%50.6%66 / 111 vs 238 / 470Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinanskyVinansky 1.80/Jr 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vinansky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vinansky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 27 · 07:45P. Vinansky—111211113D. Jr—514751
P. Vinansky10
WAug 27 · 07:45D. Jr1.80514751P. Vinansky1.91111211113LAug 27 · 07:15A. Kanak2.00129311113P. Vinansky1.73101111662LAug 27 · 06:15P. Vinansky1.731311811112J. Przybyla2.001181113133LAug 25 · 09:10L. Kantor2.10111110173P. Vinansky1.676712151LAug 25 · 07:45P. Vinansky1.5061141232L. Kantor2.501161110113WAug 25 · 06:45P. Vinansky1.401111113O. Kus2.756750WAug 25 · 05:45P. Vinansky1.36111011123A. Drozd3.008123101WAug 24 · 13:15O. Kus2.102970P. Vinansky1.671111113WAug 24 · 11:45P. Vinansky1.5791111113T. Lysek2.25117281LAug 24 · 10:45P. Vinansky1.4481171292O. Kus2.631151110113
D. Jr10
WSep 8 · 12:35T. Kindl1.67791351D. Jr2.10111111113LSep 8 · 12:10D. Jr2.254990T. Kindl1.571111113LSep 8 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.571141111113D. Jr2.2561191362LSep 8 · 10:10T. Krenek1.611211113D. Jr2.2010890LSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr1.91815120T. Krenek1.801117143WSep 8 · 08:10T. Krenek1.61316671D. Jr2.20111411113LSep 8 · 07:10D. Jr2.63714991J. Gembala1.44111211113LSep 8 · 05:40M. Macurak1.5091111113D. Jr2.50116861WSep 7 · 12:40R. Benes1.8087100D. Jr1.911111123LAug 27 · 07:45D. Jr1.80514751P. Vinansky1.91111211113
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