TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13110551
Played Sep 10Finished
Radovan Solle
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1155111188111210
Jan Przybyla
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:33 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeRadovan Solle to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadovan Solle above · Jan Przybyla below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 92 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Radovan Solle at 54.5%
92 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Solle 1–0 Jan Przybyla Jan Przybyla has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Solle beat Przybyla 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Solle
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Solle 1488 vs Przybyla 1429
Solle
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solle 20% vs Przybyla 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solle 50% vs Przybyla 20%
Solle
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Solle -2 · Przybyla -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Solle) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolle 1.73 / Przybyla 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Solle)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13110551
Solle1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Przybyla2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog51% won 55 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back29% 16 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSolle1wins
AwayPrzybyla0wins
Solle leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSollePrzybylaS − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.037.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSollePrzybylaBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 49 vs 220 / 42642.9%51.6%21 / 49 vs 220 / 426Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolleSolle 1.73/Przybyla 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Solle · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Solle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 10 · 14:10R. Solle—12116113J. Przybyla—1081181
R. Solle10
LSep 10 · 15:40L. Lasota1.7391111113R. Solle2.00116851LSep 10 · 15:10D. Branny1.83611117113R. Solle1.8311941182WSep 10 · 14:10R. Solle1.9112116113J. Przybyla1.801081181LSep 10 · 13:15T. Kindl1.44113119173R. Solle2.63411611152LSep 10 · 11:40T. Kindl1.731311113R. Solle2.0011560WSep 10 · 11:10O. Kus2.20511111112R. Solle1.61111187133WSep 10 · 10:10R. Solle1.73111111113L. Dzida2.00991391WAug 25 · 20:45J. Travnicek1.5011791192R. Solle2.50911116113LAug 25 · 20:10R. Solle2.25711951I. Heuman1.5711911113WAug 25 · 18:40D. Jr1.53611101172R. Solle2.38116123113
J. Przybyla10
LSep 10 · 16:10J. Przybyla1.739940D. Branny2.001111113WSep 10 · 14:40L. Lasota1.57711101292J. Przybyla2.251151210113LSep 10 · 14:10R. Solle1.9112116113J. Przybyla1.801081181LSep 7 · 08:40D. Pawlik1.831171110113J. Przybyla1.8321161292LSep 7 · 08:10L. Lasota1.5711711113J. Przybyla2.25311691LSep 7 · 07:10J. Przybyla1.801713119112D. Pawlik1.911911811133LSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580LSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113WSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113
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