TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12457096
Played Aug 19Finished
Dmitriy Belanchik
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71171111313111214
Illia Fokin
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:03 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Belanchik to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingDmitriy Belanchik above · Illia Fokin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 100 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Dmitriy Belanchik at 60.7%
100 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:03What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Belanchik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Belanchik 1178 vs Fokin 1039
Belanchik
Wrong
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Belanchik 40% vs Fokin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Belanchik 40% vs Fokin 60%
Fokin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Belanchik +2 · Fokin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Belanchik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Belanchik form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelanchik 1.73 / Fokin 2.00
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Belanchik)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12457096
Belanchik1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 24 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Fokin2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 36 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelanchikFokinBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 224 vs 122 / 23343.3%52.4%97 / 224 vs 122 / 233Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BelanchikBelanchik 1.73/Fokin 2.00
Miss
What we said
60.7%
Belanchik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fokin won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Belanchik10
LAug 28 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.201112113D. Belanchik1.6141050WAug 28 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.44911125113O. Maslovskyi2.63115101172LAug 28 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.20111311972O. Maksymkiv1.61915711113WAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 04:55D. Belanchik1.40891111113M. Dunas2.7511116552WAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113LAug 27 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.389111112133D. Belanchik1.531191310112WAug 27 · 15:55M. Dunas2.1061070D. Belanchik1.671112113LAug 27 · 13:55O. Maksymkiv1.831111143D. Belanchik1.8379120WAug 27 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.38911661D. Belanchik1.5311711113
I. Fokin10
WAug 21 · 18:25O. Martynenko2.109640I. Fokin1.67111153WAug 21 · 17:25V. Sydorchuk3.755640I. Fokin1.251111113WAug 21 · 15:55A. Nikolenko1.618131051I. Fokin2.2011111293WAug 21 · 13:55V. Ivanytskyi1.73111071152I. Fokin2.00912114113LAug 21 · 11:55Y. Shcherbak4.50712511133I. Fokin1.171110119112LAug 19 · 18:55I. Fokin2.009680A. Nikolenko1.731111113LAug 19 · 16:55O. Sapuzhak1.5711511113I. Fokin2.25811431WAug 19 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi1.911091111102I. Fokin1.80121158123WAug 19 · 13:55I. Fokin1.9111911113M. Dunas1.80711781WAug 15 · 11:25Y. Shcherbak4.339770I. Fokin1.201111113
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