TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12457070
Played Aug 19Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10129111151181012
Illia Fokin
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Maslovskyi to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Illia Fokin below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 99 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Maslovskyi at 54.2%
99 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 4–5 Illia Fokin Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:04What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fokin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1175 vs Fokin 1071
Maslovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 60% vs Fokin 80%
Fokin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 50% vs Fokin 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi +1 · Fokin +3
Fokin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Maslovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fokin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 1.91 / Fokin 1.80
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Maslovskyi)+6.0pp
Setka Cup · #12457070
Maslovskyi1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 68 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back21% 28 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 80
Fokin1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 59 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it68% 45 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi4wins
AwayFokin5wins
5 of 9 to a deciderFokin leads 5–4, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayFokin62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi1Fokin8n = 9Fokin took 8 of 9
S2Maslovskyi3Fokin6n = 9Fokin took 6 of 9
S3Maslovskyi4Fokin5n = 9Fokin took 5 of 9
S4Maslovskyi5Fokin1n = 6Maslovskyi took 5 of 6
S5Maslovskyi3Fokin2n = 5Maslovskyi took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiFokinM − FBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set18−7of 9Avg pointsper match40.742.6−1.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiFokinBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 856 vs 124 / 23552%52.8%445 / 856 vs 124 / 235Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaslovskyiMaslovskyi 1.91/Fokin 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Maslovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fokin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LMay 23 · 04:55O. Maslovskyi—811711112I. Fokin—115115133
WMay 9 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi—671111113I. Fokin—11113782
LApr 23 · 09:25O. Maslovskyi—59110I. Fokin—1111133
LApr 22 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi—11640I. Fokin—1311113
LApr 14 · 15:25O. Maslovskyi—71113392I. Fokin—1161111113
WMar 28 · 07:25O. Maslovskyi—13111111153I. Fokin—151397132
WMar 27 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi—491411113I. Fokin—111112962
LMar 18 · 18:25O. Maslovskyi—68170I. Fokin—1111193
WJan 29 · 07:25O. Maslovskyi—11119113I. Fokin—781151
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172
I. Fokin10
WAug 21 · 18:25O. Martynenko2.109640I. Fokin1.67111153WAug 21 · 17:25V. Sydorchuk3.755640I. Fokin1.251111113WAug 21 · 15:55A. Nikolenko1.618131051I. Fokin2.2011111293WAug 21 · 13:55V. Ivanytskyi1.73111071152I. Fokin2.00912114113LAug 21 · 11:55Y. Shcherbak4.50712511133I. Fokin1.171110119112LAug 19 · 18:55I. Fokin2.009680A. Nikolenko1.731111113LAug 19 · 16:55O. Sapuzhak1.5711511113I. Fokin2.25811431WAug 19 · 13:55I. Fokin1.9111911113M. Dunas1.80711781WAug 19 · 12:55D. Belanchik1.73771113122I. Fokin2.001111311143WAug 15 · 11:25Y. Shcherbak4.339770I. Fokin1.201111113
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