TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12467171
Played Aug 21Finished
Viktor Sydorchuk
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611411––––
Illia Fokin
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 85.0% is still 85.0%
Graded at full timeIllia Fokin to win
85.0%
85.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Sydorchuk above · Illia Fokin below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 48 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Illia Fokin at 85.0%
48 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sydorchuk 1–4 Illia Fokin Viktor Sydorchuk has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Fokin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Fokin
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 767 vs Fokin 1067
Fokin
Correct
both rated, 301 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 60% vs Fokin 40%
Sydorchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 60% vs Fokin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk +1 · Fokin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Fokin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fokin form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 3.75 / Fokin 1.25
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Fokin)+10.0pp
Setka Cup · #12467171
Sydorchuk3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 41 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Fokin1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 60 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it85% 33 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it69% 46 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSydorchuk1wins
AwayFokin4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderFokin leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk33.3%1 of 3
AwayFokinn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk3Fokin2n = 5Sydorchuk took 3 of 5
S2Sydorchuk0Fokin5n = 5Fokin took 5 of 5
S3Sydorchuk2Fokin3n = 5Fokin took 3 of 5
S4Sydorchuk3Fokin1n = 4Sydorchuk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricSydorchukFokinS − FBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match38.840.8−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukFokinBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 292 vs 127 / 24142.8%52.7%125 / 292 vs 127 / 241Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FokinSydorchuk 3.75/Fokin 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85%
Fokin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fokin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJun 12 · 07:25V. Sydorchuk—69111292I. Fokin—1111810113
WJun 11 · 15:25V. Sydorchuk—11911113I. Fokin—611951
LJan 27 · 12:05V. Sydorchuk—11871192I. Fokin—611115113
LJan 24 · 07:25V. Sydorchuk—7480I. Fokin—1111113
LJan 23 · 14:55V. Sydorchuk—1298111I. Fokin—101111133
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172LAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113
I. Fokin10
WAug 21 · 18:25O. Martynenko2.109640I. Fokin1.67111153WAug 21 · 15:55A. Nikolenko1.618131051I. Fokin2.2011111293WAug 21 · 13:55V. Ivanytskyi1.73111071152I. Fokin2.00912114113LAug 21 · 11:55Y. Shcherbak4.50712511133I. Fokin1.171110119112LAug 19 · 18:55I. Fokin2.009680A. Nikolenko1.731111113LAug 19 · 16:55O. Sapuzhak1.5711511113I. Fokin2.25811431WAug 19 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi1.911091111102I. Fokin1.80121158123WAug 19 · 13:55I. Fokin1.9111911113M. Dunas1.80711781WAug 19 · 12:55D. Belanchik1.73771113122I. Fokin2.001111311143WAug 15 · 11:25Y. Shcherbak4.339770I. Fokin1.201111113
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