TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12466933
Played Aug 21Finished
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191012711114511
Illia Fokin
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeViktor Ivanytskyi to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViktor Ivanytskyi above · Illia Fokin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 91 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Viktor Ivanytskyi at 58.2%
91 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ivanytskyi 8–8 Illia Fokin Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivanytskyi 1084 vs Fokin 1043
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivanytskyi 100% vs Fokin 40%
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivanytskyi 80% vs Fokin 50%
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivanytskyi +5 · Fokin -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Ivanytskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanytskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvanytskyi 1.73 / Fokin 2.00
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Ivanytskyi)+9.5pp
Setka Cup · #12466933
Ivanytskyi1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 55 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it100% 32 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Fokin2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 38 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvanytskyi5wins
AwayFokin5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvanytskyi80%4 of 5
AwayFokin80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivanytskyi5Fokin5n = 10split evenly
S2Ivanytskyi5Fokin5n = 10split evenly
S3Ivanytskyi6Fokin4n = 10Ivanytskyi took 6 of 10
S4Ivanytskyi4Fokin4n = 8split evenly
S5Ivanytskyi2Fokin3n = 5Fokin took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvanytskyiFokinI − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.241.3−0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvanytskyiFokinBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 135 vs 125 / 23960%52.3%81 / 135 vs 125 / 239Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanytskyiIvanytskyi 1.73/Fokin 2.00
Miss
What we said
63.2%
Ivanytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fokin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 05:55V. Ivanytskyi—681161I. Fokin—11117113
WAug 10 · 18:55V. Ivanytskyi—111369123I. Fokin—7111111102
WJul 23 · 04:55V. Ivanytskyi—13911143I. Fokin—11115121
WJul 22 · 18:25V. Ivanytskyi—1112123I. Fokin—410100
LJul 16 · 10:25V. Ivanytskyi—5690I. Fokin—1111113
LJul 7 · 10:05V. Ivanytskyi—711101192I. Fokin—113129113
LJun 11 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi—511111092I. Fokin—117912113
WJun 9 · 10:09V. Ivanytskyi—12713113I. Fokin—10111161
LJun 9 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi—11129572I. Fokin—8101111113
WJun 8 · 18:55V. Ivanytskyi—491112113I. Fokin—111141062
V. Ivanytskyi10
LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183WSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113WSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070WSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113WSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.611111113V. Ivanytskyi2.209930
I. Fokin10
WAug 21 · 18:25O. Martynenko2.109640I. Fokin1.67111153WAug 21 · 17:25V. Sydorchuk3.755640I. Fokin1.251111113WAug 21 · 15:55A. Nikolenko1.618131051I. Fokin2.2011111293LAug 21 · 11:55Y. Shcherbak4.50712511133I. Fokin1.171110119112LAug 19 · 18:55I. Fokin2.009680A. Nikolenko1.731111113LAug 19 · 16:55O. Sapuzhak1.5711511113I. Fokin2.25811431WAug 19 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi1.911091111102I. Fokin1.80121158123WAug 19 · 13:55I. Fokin1.9111911113M. Dunas1.80711781WAug 19 · 12:55D. Belanchik1.73771113122I. Fokin2.001111311143WAug 15 · 11:25Y. Shcherbak4.339770I. Fokin1.201111113
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