TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12447671
Played Aug 17Finished
Pavel Fencl
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119112––––
Jan Rochowanski
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingPavel Fencl above · Jan Rochowanski below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 50 set 3, 11-2
50 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Fencl 0–1 Jan Rochowanski Pavel Fencl has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Rochowanski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rochowanski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFencl 2.10 / Rochowanski 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Rochowanski)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12447671
Fencl2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 6 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Rochowanski1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 20 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it70% 16 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFencl0wins
AwayRochowanski1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderRochowanski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFenclRochowanskiF − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.048.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFenclRochowanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 82 vs 87 / 17648.8%49.4%40 / 82 vs 87 / 176Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RochowanskiFencl 2.10/Rochowanski 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Rochowanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fencl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 17 · 07:15P. Fencl—111110392J. Rochowanski—591211113
P. Fencl10
WSep 4 · 08:19J. Senk2.107960P. Fencl1.671111113WSep 4 · 07:15P. Fencl1.7311811113J. Senk2.00911781LSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123LSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123LAug 27 · 08:18P. Fencl1.73917781M. Ullman2.00111511113LAug 27 · 07:45V. Grubr2.1041115113P. Fencl1.671171341LAug 27 · 06:45M. Vyskocil1.9181111113P. Fencl1.80118331WAug 27 · 05:15M. Ullman1.738480P. Fencl2.001111113LAug 17 · 07:15J. Rochowanski1.73591211113P. Fencl2.00111110392LAug 17 · 06:45P. Fencl2.50761181L. Rulc1.5011116113
J. Rochowanski10
WAug 17 · 07:15J. Rochowanski1.73591211113P. Fencl2.00111110392WAug 17 · 06:15J. Rochowanski1.6711118113T. Liska2.10581181WAug 17 · 05:15J. Rochowanski1.80101111123L. Rulc1.911273101WAug 14 · 08:48L. Adam1.676118101J. Rochowanski2.1011711123LAug 14 · 07:45J. Rochowanski1.919118101L. Adam1.8011911123LAug 14 · 06:15P. Wasik1.3361114113J. Rochowanski3.251131261LAug 14 · 05:45L. Dobias1.501111113J. Rochowanski2.503990WAug 5 · 12:49M. Makara2.2581271282J. Rochowanski1.5711101110113LAug 5 · 11:45J. Rochowanski1.6710811151M. Makara2.1012116173LAug 5 · 10:15M. Kocvara1.50117811123J. Rochowanski2.50811117102
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