TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022652
Played Aug 27Finished
Marek Vyskocil
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811118113113––
Pavel Fencl
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Fencl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarek Vyskocil above · Pavel Fencl below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 66 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Pavel Fencl at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Marek Vyskocil 3–2 Pavel Fencl Pavel Fencl has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:44What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fencl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1656 vs Fencl 1561
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 20% vs Fencl 60%
Fencl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 40% vs Fencl 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil -4 · Fencl +2
Vyskocil
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fencl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.91 / Fencl 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fencl)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13022652
Vyskocil1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog52% won 30 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back36% 11 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Fencl1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVyskocil3wins
AwayFencl2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderVyskocil leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskociln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayFencl50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil1Fencl4n = 5Fencl took 4 of 5
S2Vyskocil2Fencl3n = 5Fencl took 3 of 5
S3Vyskocil4Fencl1n = 5Vyskocil took 4 of 5
S4Vyskocil2Fencl1n = 3Vyskocil took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricVyskocilFenclV − FBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match38.633.8+4.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilFenclBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 408 vs 42 / 8753.7%48.3%219 / 408 vs 42 / 87Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FenclVyskocil 1.91/Fencl 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Fencl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 27 · 06:45M. Vyskocil—81111113P. Fencl—118331
WJan 12 · 13:57M. Vyskocil—651111113P. Fencl—11116582
WJan 12 · 10:15M. Vyskocil—1311113P. Fencl—11530
LDec 31 · 09:56M. Vyskocil—10141181P. Fencl—12168113
LDec 31 · 08:00M. Vyskocil—91380P. Fencl—1115113
M. Vyskocil10
WSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113LSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123WSep 4 · 05:45J. Senk1.7311860M. Vyskocil2.001311113WSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113LSep 3 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.83691111102A. Snr1.83111188123LSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133WSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.8091112113R. Pisa1.911131011LSep 2 · 12:44J. Dolezal1.831111910113M. Vyskocil1.8384111282WSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113
P. Fencl10
WSep 4 · 08:19J. Senk2.107960P. Fencl1.671111113WSep 4 · 07:15P. Fencl1.7311811113J. Senk2.00911781LSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123LSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123LAug 27 · 08:18P. Fencl1.73917781M. Ullman2.00111511113LAug 27 · 07:45V. Grubr2.1041115113P. Fencl1.671171341WAug 27 · 05:15M. Ullman1.738480P. Fencl2.001111113WAug 17 · 08:13P. Fencl2.101111113J. Rochowanski1.676920LAug 17 · 07:15J. Rochowanski1.73591211113P. Fencl2.00111110392LAug 17 · 06:45P. Fencl2.50761181L. Rulc1.5011116113
Upcoming Matches
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