TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022515
Played Aug 27Finished
Vojtech Grubr
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
4111171513114––
Pavel Fencl
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:52 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timePavel Fencl to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVojtech Grubr above · Pavel Fencl below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 76 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Pavel Fencl at 55.8%
76 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Grubr 1–0 Pavel Fencl Pavel Fencl has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:52What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Fencl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Grubr 1622 vs Fencl 1561
Grubr
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grubr 80% vs Fencl 40%
Grubr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grubr 50% vs Fencl 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grubr +4 · Fencl -1
Grubr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Fencl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fencl form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrubr 2.10 / Fencl 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Fencl)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13022515
Grubr2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 70 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back30% 26 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Fencl1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGrubr1wins
AwayFencl0wins
Grubr leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGrubrFenclG − FBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match41.035.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrubrFenclBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 454 vs 42 / 8750.2%48.3%228 / 454 vs 42 / 87Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FenclGrubr 2.10/Fencl 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Fencl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Grubr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 27 · 07:45V. Grubr—41115113P. Fencl—1171341
V. Grubr10
LSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113WSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972LSep 2 · 09:15V. Grubr1.61691181A. Radkovsky2.2011117113WSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123WSep 1 · 11:15V. Grubr1.67611511113A. Radkovsky2.1011611792LSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123WSep 1 · 09:15V. Grubr1.911111113T. Liska1.809990LAug 31 · 16:49V. Grubr2.388880L. Svoboda1.531111113WAug 31 · 15:45A. Radkovsky1.831011371V. Grubr1.8312911113
P. Fencl10
WSep 4 · 08:19J. Senk2.107960P. Fencl1.671111113WSep 4 · 07:15P. Fencl1.7311811113J. Senk2.00911781LSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123LSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123LAug 27 · 08:18P. Fencl1.73917781M. Ullman2.00111511113LAug 27 · 06:45M. Vyskocil1.9181111113P. Fencl1.80118331WAug 27 · 05:15M. Ullman1.738480P. Fencl2.001111113WAug 17 · 08:13P. Fencl2.101111113J. Rochowanski1.676920LAug 17 · 07:15J. Rochowanski1.73591211113P. Fencl2.00111110392LAug 17 · 06:45P. Fencl2.50761181L. Rulc1.5011116113
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