TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055129
Played Sep 1Finished
Vojtech Grubr
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119119––––
Tomas Liska
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Liska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVojtech Grubr above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Liska at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Grubr 27–25 Tomas Liska Tomas Liska has won 25 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:05What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Liska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-25 in 52
Grubr
Correct
gap of 2 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grubr 1631 vs Liska 1625
Grubr
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grubr 40% vs Liska 80%
Liska
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grubr 70% vs Liska 50%
Grubr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grubr -1 · Liska +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Liska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Liska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrubr 1.91 / Liska 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Liska)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13055129
Grubr1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 69 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back29% 25 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47
Liska1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 57 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it65% 41 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrubr6wins
AwayLiska4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderGrubr leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrubr75%3 of 4
AwayLiska50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grubr4Liska6n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S2Grubr6Liska4n = 10Grubr took 6 of 10
S3Grubr6Liska4n = 10Grubr took 6 of 10
S4Grubr4Liska5n = 9Liska took 5 of 9
S5Grubr4Liska2n = 6Grubr took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrubrLiskaG − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.144.0+0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrubrLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 458 vs 402 / 87450.2%46%230 / 458 vs 402 / 874Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.240.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LiskaGrubr 1.91/Liska 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Liska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Grubr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 28 · 06:30V. Grubr—6111213143T. Liska—1181015122
WJun 18 · 20:43V. Grubr—1111113T. Liska—9970
LJun 18 · 18:45V. Grubr—961181T. Liska—11114113
LJun 9 · 20:49V. Grubr—71191172T. Liska—119115113
WJun 9 · 18:15V. Grubr—661112133T. Liska—1111910112
WMay 27 · 07:15V. Grubr—11118113T. Liska—761161
WMay 21 · 17:15V. Grubr—6111112113T. Liska—11951492
WMay 19 · 05:15V. Grubr—11111011153T. Liska—813128132
LMay 15 · 07:45V. Grubr—1081281T. Liska—121110113
LMay 11 · 08:00V. Grubr—11115282T. Liska—771111113
V. Grubr10
LSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113WSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972LSep 2 · 09:15V. Grubr1.61691181A. Radkovsky2.2011117113WSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123WSep 1 · 11:15V. Grubr1.67611511113A. Radkovsky2.1011611792LSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123LAug 31 · 16:49V. Grubr2.388880L. Svoboda1.531111113WAug 31 · 15:45A. Radkovsky1.831011371V. Grubr1.8312911113WAug 31 · 14:45O. Mezera1.8310680V. Grubr1.831211113
T. Liska10
LSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113WSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113WSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123LSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113WSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990WSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133WSep 3 · 17:45A. Snr1.83119561T. Liska1.8371111113WSep 1 · 12:23T. Liska1.5391111123A. Radkovsky2.381176101LSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc1.67121189123T. Liska2.101041111102
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