TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073258
Played Sep 4Finished
Marek Vyskocil
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121012911––––
Tomas Liska
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Vyskocil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarek Vyskocil above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 64 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Marek Vyskocil at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Marek Vyskocil 4–7 Tomas Liska Marek Vyskocil has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:31What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vyskocil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Liska
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1713 vs Liska 1714
Liska
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 60% vs Liska 80%
Liska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 70% vs Liska 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil +3 · Liska +2
Vyskocil
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vyskocil) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Liska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.73 / Liska 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Vyskocil)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13073258
Vyskocil1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 72 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it75% 54 of 72
Liska2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 101 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back19% 27 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVyskocil4wins
AwayLiska6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLiska leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskocil66.7%4 of 6
AwayLiska100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil6Liska4n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S2Vyskocil6Liska4n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S3Vyskocil4Liska6n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S4Vyskocil6Liska2n = 8Vyskocil took 6 of 8
S5Vyskocil0Liska5n = 5Liska took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVyskocilLiskaV − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.040.8+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime225 / 412 vs 408 / 88154.6%46.3%225 / 412 vs 408 / 881Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.440.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.73/Liska 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Liska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil—101090T. Liska—1212113
WSep 3 · 20:43M. Vyskocil—11126113T. Liska—9101161
LSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil—117117112T. Liska—711811133
WAug 20 · 13:00M. Vyskocil—11117113T. Liska—991151
WAug 20 · 12:00M. Vyskocil—1111113T. Liska—7960
LAug 3 · 16:13M. Vyskocil—121151492T. Liska—1481112113
LAug 3 · 13:15M. Vyskocil—11115992T. Liska—481111113
WJul 27 · 08:48M. Vyskocil—11611113T. Liska—711951
LJul 27 · 07:45M. Vyskocil—41181142T. Liska—117119113
LJul 13 · 06:15M. Vyskocil—98111192T. Liska—111179113
M. Vyskocil10
WSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113WSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123WSep 4 · 05:45J. Senk1.7311860M. Vyskocil2.001311113WSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113LSep 3 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.83691111102A. Snr1.83111188123LSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133WSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.8091112113R. Pisa1.911131011LSep 2 · 12:44J. Dolezal1.831111910113M. Vyskocil1.8384111282WSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113WSep 2 · 10:45M. Vyskocil1.671111113A. Radkovsky2.108560
T. Liska10
LSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113WSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113WSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123LSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113WSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990WSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133WSep 3 · 17:45A. Snr1.83119561T. Liska1.8371111113WSep 1 · 12:23T. Liska1.5391111123A. Radkovsky2.381176101LSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc1.67121189123T. Liska2.101041111102WSep 1 · 10:45A. Radkovsky2.10711571T. Liska1.6711611113
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