TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067439
Played Sep 3Finished
Ales Brandtl Snr
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117911511611––
Tomas Liska
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAles Brandtl Snr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAles Brandtl Snr above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Ales Brandtl Snr at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Ales Brandtl Snr 0–2 Tomas Liska Ales Brandtl Snr has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:58What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Liska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Snr 1622 vs Liska 1640
Liska
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 60% vs Liska 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 40% vs Liska 60%
Liska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr +1 · Liska +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Liska) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 1.83 / Liska 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Liska)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067439
Snr1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Liska1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSnr0wins
AwayLiska2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLiska leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSnrLiskaS − LBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.046.5−6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 25 vs 403 / 87532%46.1%8 / 25 vs 403 / 875Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LiskaSnr 1.83/Liska 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Liska · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Liska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 3 · 17:45A. Snr—119561T. Liska—71111113
LJun 9 · 17:45A. Snr—812711112T. Liska—1110118133
A. Snr10
LSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891LSep 4 · 19:15A. Snr2.50751191D. Gasparovic1.5011117113LSep 4 · 18:15A. Snr1.8361151152J. Sr1.83117117113WSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.83691111102A. Snr1.83111188123LSep 3 · 18:45A. Snr1.571011731R. Pisa2.2512611113WJul 18 · 20:28A. Snr1.381111163S. Rejent2.8048140LJul 18 · 19:45A. Snr1.8395111682J. Sr1.831111314113WJul 18 · 18:15S. Rejent3.25111312892A. Snr1.3313111011113LJul 18 · 17:45M. Kocvara2.0091211113A. Snr1.731110951
T. Liska10
LSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113WSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113WSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123LSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113WSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990WSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133WSep 1 · 12:23T. Liska1.5391111123A. Radkovsky2.381176101LSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc1.67121189123T. Liska2.101041111102WSep 1 · 10:45A. Radkovsky2.10711571T. Liska1.6711611113
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