TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12255724
Played Jul 18Finished
Ales Brandtl Snr
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9115111131614811
Jan Krames Sr
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingAles Brandtl Snr above · Jan Krames Sr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 16-14
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 99 set 5, 8-11
99 points played in total.
H2H Ales Brandtl Snr 1–3 Jan Krames Sr Ales Brandtl Snr has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 1.83 / Sr 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sr)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12255724
Snr1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Sr1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSnr1wins
AwaySr3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSr leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnr33.3%1 of 3
AwaySrn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr3Sr1n = 4Snr took 3 of 4
S2Snr0Sr4n = 4Sr took 4 of 4
S3Snr2Sr2n = 4split evenly
S4Snr2Sr2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSnrSrSnr − SrBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.244.8−3.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrSrBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 22 vs 390 / 69531.8%56.1%7 / 22 vs 390 / 695Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.140.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrSnr 1.83/Sr 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 10 · 17:45A. Snr—11311113J. Sr—611931
LJun 23 · 16:23A. Snr—1181421J. Sr—41116113
LJun 23 · 13:45A. Snr—77161142J. Sr—1111148113
LJun 16 · 17:45A. Snr—11919101J. Sr—91121123
A. Snr10
LSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891LSep 4 · 19:15A. Snr2.50751191D. Gasparovic1.5011117113LSep 4 · 18:15A. Snr1.8361151152J. Sr1.83117117113WSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.83691111102A. Snr1.83111188123LSep 3 · 18:45A. Snr1.571011731R. Pisa2.2512611113LSep 3 · 17:45A. Snr1.83119561T. Liska1.8371111113WJul 18 · 20:28A. Snr1.381111163S. Rejent2.8048140WJul 18 · 18:15S. Rejent3.25111312892A. Snr1.3313111011113LJul 18 · 17:45M. Kocvara2.0091211113A. Snr1.731110951
J. Sr10
WSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481WSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113WSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102WSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113WSep 4 · 20:53J. Sr1.7311118113D. Gasparovic2.00761121WSep 4 · 18:15A. Snr1.8361151152J. Sr1.83117117113
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