TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073766
Played Sep 4Finished
Ales Brandtl Snr
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711511117911––
David Gasparovic
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Gasparovic to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Brandtl Snr above · David Gasparovic below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 72 set 4, 9-11 — our read held David Gasparovic at 62.5%
72 points played in total.
H2H Ales Brandtl Snr 0–1 David Gasparovic Ales Brandtl Snr has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:18What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Gasparovic
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Snr 1599 vs Gasparovic 1740
Gasparovic
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 40% vs Gasparovic 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 50% vs Gasparovic 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr -1 · Gasparovic -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Gasparovic)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gasparovic form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 2.50 / Gasparovic 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Gasparovic)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13073766
Snr2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 4 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 5
Gasparovic1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 50 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it74% 32 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSnr0wins
AwayGasparovic1wins
Gasparovic leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricSnrGasparovicS − GBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match30.038.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrGasparovicBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 29 vs 96 / 15834.5%60.8%10 / 29 vs 96 / 158Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.040.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasparovicSnr 2.50/Gasparovic 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Gasparovic · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gasparovic won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 10 · 19:15A. Snr—137100D. Gasparovic—1511123
A. Snr10
LSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891LSep 4 · 18:15A. Snr1.8361151152J. Sr1.83117117113WSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.83691111102A. Snr1.83111188123LSep 3 · 18:45A. Snr1.571011731R. Pisa2.2512611113LSep 3 · 17:45A. Snr1.83119561T. Liska1.8371111113WJul 18 · 20:28A. Snr1.381111163S. Rejent2.8048140LJul 18 · 19:45A. Snr1.8395111682J. Sr1.831111314113WJul 18 · 18:15S. Rejent3.25111312892A. Snr1.3313111011113LJul 18 · 17:45M. Kocvara2.0091211113A. Snr1.731110951
D. Gasparovic10
LSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133WSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791LSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111LSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102LSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113WSep 5 · 05:45D. Gasparovic1.361111113L. Veigl3.003930LSep 4 · 20:53J. Sr1.7311118113D. Gasparovic2.00761121WSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121
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