TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084585
Played Sep 6Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511116911511––
David Gasparovic
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:58 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeDavid Gasparovic to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · David Gasparovic below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 69 set 4, 5-11 — our read held David Gasparovic at 65.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 6–11 David Gasparovic Stepan Rejent has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Gasparovic
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Gasparovic
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1654 vs Gasparovic 1679
Gasparovic
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 60% vs Gasparovic 20%
Rejent
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 50% vs Gasparovic 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent -1 · Gasparovic -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Gasparovic) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gasparovic form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 2.63 / Gasparovic 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Gasparovic)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084585
Rejent2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 93 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 66
Gasparovic1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 53 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it76% 35 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRejent2wins
AwayGasparovic8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGasparovic leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent40%2 of 5
AwayGasparovic100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent5Gasparovic5n = 10split evenly
S2Rejent4Gasparovic6n = 10Gasparovic took 6 of 10
S3Rejent2Gasparovic8n = 10Gasparovic took 8 of 10
S4Rejent2Gasparovic7n = 9Gasparovic took 7 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRejentGasparovicR − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.241.9−5.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentGasparovicBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 770 vs 101 / 16947.1%59.8%363 / 770 vs 101 / 169Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.840.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasparovicRejent 2.63/Gasparovic 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Gasparovic · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gasparovic won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent—511951D. Gasparovic—11611113
LAug 23 · 16:13S. Rejent—119491D. Gasparovic—61111113
LAug 23 · 15:15S. Rejent—811731D. Gasparovic—11911113
LJun 19 · 13:30S. Rejent—11111291D. Gasparovic—61314113
WMay 31 · 12:59S. Rejent—116138113D. Gasparovic—711111192
LMay 31 · 09:30S. Rejent—771161D. Gasparovic—11117113
LMay 29 · 19:00S. Rejent—7111111112D. Gasparovic—117139133
LMay 17 · 10:30S. Rejent—1281171D. Gasparovic—101113113
WMay 15 · 17:30S. Rejent—11114113D. Gasparovic—961191
LMay 3 · 13:04S. Rejent—7770D. Gasparovic—1111113
S. Rejent10
LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123LSep 3 · 13:45J. Sr1.441111113S. Rejent2.635960LSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732WSep 2 · 19:15M. Ullman2.10911101172S. Rejent1.67116124113WSep 2 · 18:45S. Rejent1.67111114123J. Dolezal2.1013212101
D. Gasparovic10
LSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860LSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133WSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791LSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111LSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102LSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113WSep 5 · 05:45D. Gasparovic1.361111113L. Veigl3.003930LSep 4 · 20:53J. Sr1.7311118113D. Gasparovic2.00761121WSep 4 · 19:15A. Snr2.50751191D. Gasparovic1.5011117113WSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121
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