TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061268
Played Sep 2Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
111311214121210––
Josef Dolezal
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:25 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeStepan Rejent to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Josef Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 85 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Stepan Rejent at 55.8%
85 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 4–4 Josef Dolezal Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rejent
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1639 vs Dolezal 1609
Rejent
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 20% vs Dolezal 40%
Dolezal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 40% vs Dolezal 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent -4 · Dolezal -1
Rejent
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Rejent)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rejent form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 1.67 / Dolezal 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Rejent)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13061268
Rejent1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 81 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it76% 56 of 74
Dolezal2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 36 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back22% 9 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeRejent4wins
AwayDolezal4wins
4 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent80%4 of 5
AwayDolezal100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent5Dolezal3n = 8Rejent took 5 of 8
S2Rejent4Dolezal4n = 8split evenly
S3Rejent4Dolezal4n = 8split evenly
S4Rejent4Dolezal0n = 4Rejent took 4 of 4
S5Rejent1Dolezal3n = 4Dolezal took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricRejentDolezalR − DBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match38.538.50.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 767 vs 56 / 12347.5%45.5%364 / 767 vs 56 / 123Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentRejent 1.67/Dolezal 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rejent won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 18 · 17:45S. Rejent—115611123J. Dolezal—211119102
LJul 19 · 18:15S. Rejent—91191182J. Dolezal—119119113
WJun 18 · 20:15S. Rejent—1112113J. Dolezal—61090
WJun 18 · 18:15S. Rejent—1111123J. Dolezal—89100
LJun 4 · 17:15S. Rejent—6990J. Dolezal—1111113
WMay 31 · 10:30S. Rejent—1211123J. Dolezal—107100
LApr 22 · 16:14S. Rejent—12761162J. Dolezal—1011115113
LApr 22 · 15:15S. Rejent—1211112102J. Dolezal—1411710123
S. Rejent10
LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123LSep 3 · 13:45J. Sr1.441111113S. Rejent2.635960LSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732WSep 2 · 19:15M. Ullman2.10911101172S. Rejent1.67116124113
J. Dolezal10
WSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732LSep 2 · 19:45R. Pisa1.7311118113J. Dolezal2.00381181LSep 2 · 17:15M. Ullman1.73711511113J. Dolezal2.0011611682WSep 2 · 12:44J. Dolezal1.831111910113M. Vyskocil1.8384111282WSep 2 · 11:45J. Dolezal1.5311511133A. Radkovsky2.388116111LSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972LSep 2 · 09:45M. Vyskocil1.9111115113J. Dolezal1.80781181LAug 29 · 20:53J. Dolezal2.0011911692V. Burylov1.73911311113WAug 29 · 19:45M. Makara1.731212101072J. Dolezal2.0010101212113WAug 29 · 18:45V. Burylov1.6741181172J. Dolezal2.10115118113
Upcoming Matches
S. Rejent
J. Dolezal
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