TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088423
Played Sep 6Finished
Josef Chalupa
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1188111210117––
Stepan Rejent
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJosef Chalupa above · Stepan Rejent below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 78 set 4, 11-7
78 points played in total.
H2H Josef Chalupa 16–10 Stepan Rejent Stepan Rejent has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Chalupa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chalupa form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChalupa 1.44 / Rejent 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Chalupa)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13088423
Chalupa1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite58% won 56 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it77% 34 of 44
Rejent2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 93 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChalupa6wins
AwayRejent4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChalupa leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChalupa75%3 of 4
AwayRejent50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chalupa4Rejent6n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S2Chalupa7Rejent3n = 10Chalupa took 7 of 10
S3Chalupa6Rejent4n = 10Chalupa took 6 of 10
S4Chalupa5Rejent2n = 7Chalupa took 5 of 7
S5Chalupa1Rejent2n = 3Rejent took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChalupaRejentC − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.334.3+6.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChalupaRejentBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 367 vs 363 / 76955.3%47.2%203 / 367 vs 363 / 769Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaChalupa 1.44/Rejent 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Chalupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chalupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 14:15J. Chalupa—1111113S. Rejent—4130
LJul 22 · 17:15J. Chalupa—10860S. Rejent—1211113
LJul 12 · 14:15J. Chalupa—139111382S. Rejent—1111815113
WJun 30 · 20:43J. Chalupa—1111123S. Rejent—84100
WJun 30 · 17:15J. Chalupa—811511113S. Rejent—11911772
LMay 29 · 17:30J. Chalupa—811111192S. Rejent—115137113
WMay 26 · 17:30J. Chalupa—61111123S. Rejent—1155101
WJan 13 · 15:15J. Chalupa—11119113S. Rejent—841141
WDec 27 · 13:45J. Chalupa—131111113S. Rejent—151991
LDec 27 · 11:45J. Chalupa—871181S. Rejent—11116113
J. Chalupa10
LSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113LSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791WSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111LSep 5 · 07:45L. Veigl2.10311811113J. Chalupa1.6711911982WSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113LSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992LAug 23 · 13:05J. Chalupa1.831271291L. Heinzl1.83101114113LAug 23 · 12:00L. Heinzl1.8311712133J. Chalupa1.8341110111WAug 23 · 11:00J. Sr1.8313121111102J. Chalupa1.831510136123
S. Rejent10
LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123LSep 3 · 13:45J. Sr1.441111113S. Rejent2.635960LSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732WSep 2 · 19:15M. Ullman2.10911101172S. Rejent1.67116124113WSep 2 · 18:45S. Rejent1.67111114123J. Dolezal2.1013212101
Upcoming Matches
J. Chalupa
Nothing scheduled
S. Rejent
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