TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084018
Played Sep 6Finished
Josef Chalupa
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181012119911911
Volodymyr Burylov
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Chalupa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJosef Chalupa above · Volodymyr Burylov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 101 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Josef Chalupa at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Josef Chalupa 15–16 Volodymyr Burylov Josef Chalupa has won 15 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Chalupa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-16 in 31
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chalupa 1774 vs Burylov 1767
Chalupa
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chalupa 60% vs Burylov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chalupa 50% vs Burylov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chalupa +1 · Burylov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chalupa)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChalupa 1.80 / Burylov 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chalupa)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13084018
Chalupa1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 56 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it77% 34 of 44
Burylov1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 52 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back37% 18 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back24% 6 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChalupa5wins
AwayBurylov5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChalupa60%3 of 5
AwayBurylov60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chalupa5Burylov5n = 10split evenly
S2Chalupa4Burylov6n = 10Burylov took 6 of 10
S3Chalupa5Burylov5n = 10split evenly
S4Chalupa6Burylov1n = 7Chalupa took 6 of 7
S5Chalupa1Burylov3n = 4Burylov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChalupaBurylovC − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.738.5+0.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChalupaBurylovBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 368 vs 199 / 39555.4%50.4%204 / 368 vs 199 / 395Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaChalupa 1.80/Burylov 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chalupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Burylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa—111011992V. Burylov—812911113
WJul 18 · 09:05J. Chalupa—1114123V. Burylov—512100
WJul 18 · 06:45J. Chalupa—51111113V. Burylov—115861
LJul 11 · 10:45J. Chalupa—10840V. Burylov—1211113
LFeb 17 · 09:31J. Chalupa—74111142V. Burylov—111188113
WFeb 17 · 08:30J. Chalupa—19811113V. Burylov—1711371
WFeb 10 · 17:50J. Chalupa—12129113V. Burylov—10101181
LFeb 10 · 14:15J. Chalupa—11471162V. Burylov—311114113
WFeb 2 · 18:15J. Chalupa—1011811113V. Burylov—12911572
LDec 2 · 17:45J. Chalupa—5780V. Burylov—1111113
J. Chalupa10
WSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071WSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113LSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791WSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111LSep 5 · 07:45L. Veigl2.10311811113J. Chalupa1.6711911982WSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113LSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992LAug 23 · 13:05J. Chalupa1.831271291L. Heinzl1.83101114113LAug 23 · 12:00L. Heinzl1.8311712133J. Chalupa1.8341110111WAug 23 · 11:00J. Sr1.8313121111102J. Chalupa1.831510136123
V. Burylov10
WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692LSep 4 · 09:30V. Burylov1.801141151L. Adam1.9181113113
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