TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073278
Played Sep 4Finished
Volodymyr Burylov
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911911113811––
Martin Kocvara
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:30 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Burylov to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Martin Kocvara below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Volodymyr Burylov at 54.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 2–4 Martin Kocvara Volodymyr Burylov has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:30What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Burylov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Kocvara
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burylov 1730 vs Kocvara 1758
Kocvara
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burylov 60% vs Kocvara 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burylov 60% vs Kocvara 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burylov +1 · Kocvara +3
Kocvara
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Burylov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 1.80 / Kocvara 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Burylov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13073278
Burylov1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite46% won 44 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it66% 29 of 44
Kocvara1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog57% won 48 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back49% 21 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back28% 5 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBurylov2wins
AwayKocvara4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderKocvara leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurylov66.7%2 of 3
AwayKocvara100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov3Kocvara3n = 6split evenly
S2Burylov1Kocvara5n = 6Kocvara took 5 of 6
S3Burylov3Kocvara3n = 6split evenly
S4Burylov2Kocvara3n = 5Kocvara took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricBurylovKocvaraB − KBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match41.341.0+0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovKocvaraBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 387 vs 76 / 13150.1%58%194 / 387 vs 76 / 131Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovBurylov 1.80/Kocvara 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kocvara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov—991181M. Kocvara—11113113
WSep 1 · 05:15V. Burylov—1141011113M. Kocvara—91112952
LAug 30 · 18:15V. Burylov—1111117102M. Kocvara—136711123
WJul 28 · 07:45V. Burylov—14912113M. Kocvara—12111021
LJul 26 · 11:15V. Burylov—49100M. Kocvara—1111123
LJul 25 · 11:15V. Burylov—111014101M. Kocvara—61216123
V. Burylov10
WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940WSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692LSep 4 · 09:30V. Burylov1.801141151L. Adam1.9181113113
M. Kocvara10
WSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481LSep 6 · 10:45L. Adam1.801111113M. Kocvara1.919480WSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 4 · 12:59L. Adam2.201111113M. Kocvara1.617480WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kocvara1.67115211113L. Adam2.1031111742WSep 4 · 10:00M. Kocvara1.731113123M. Makara2.00611100WSep 1 · 08:21M. Makara2.7551211472M. Kocvara1.401110911113LSep 1 · 07:15M. Kocvara1.6711891172M. Makara2.10911118113LSep 1 · 06:15M. Kocvara2.75115561L. Heinzl1.4091111113
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