TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13087321
Played Sep 6Finished
Martin Kocvara
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117911119311117
Ondrej Mezera
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMartin Kocvara above · Ondrej Mezera below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 90 set 5, 11-7
90 points played in total.
H2H Martin Kocvara 8–5 Ondrej Mezera Ondrej Mezera has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kocvara)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mezera form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocvara 1.53 / Mezera 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Kocvara)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13087321
Kocvara1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 27 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it73% 22 of 30
Mezera2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 118 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back32% 47 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back17% 13 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKocvara6wins
AwayMezera4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKocvara leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocvara66.7%4 of 6
AwayMezera50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocvara6Mezera4n = 10Kocvara took 6 of 10
S2Kocvara5Mezera5n = 10split evenly
S3Kocvara6Mezera4n = 10Kocvara took 6 of 10
S4Kocvara3Mezera4n = 7Mezera took 4 of 7
S5Kocvara3Mezera2n = 5Kocvara took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKocvaraMezeraK − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.842.2+1.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocvaraMezeraBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 135 vs 411 / 81857%50.2%77 / 135 vs 411 / 818Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.540.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocvaraKocvara 1.53/Mezera 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Kocvara · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kocvara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 09:15M. Kocvara—1111113O. Mezera—8990
WAug 23 · 12:24M. Kocvara—1511117113O. Mezera—17871162
LAug 23 · 09:15M. Kocvara—159131132O. Mezera—1311158113
LAug 15 · 08:18M. Kocvara—10870O. Mezera—1211113
LAug 15 · 05:45M. Kocvara—10611111O. Mezera—12117133
WJul 25 · 12:53M. Kocvara—1311113O. Mezera—11730
WJul 25 · 09:15M. Kocvara—811127133O. Mezera—1161011112
WJul 8 · 16:13M. Kocvara—1111114143O. Mezera—913811122
LJul 8 · 13:15M. Kocvara—11101111112O. Mezera—812137133
WJun 27 · 12:13M. Kocvara—111112113O. Mezera—961471
M. Kocvara10
LSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481LSep 6 · 10:45L. Adam1.801111113M. Kocvara1.919480WSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 4 · 12:59L. Adam2.201111113M. Kocvara1.617480WSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kocvara1.67115211113L. Adam2.1031111742WSep 4 · 10:00M. Kocvara1.731113123M. Makara2.00611100WSep 1 · 08:21M. Makara2.7551211472M. Kocvara1.401110911113LSep 1 · 07:15M. Kocvara1.6711891172M. Makara2.10911118113LSep 1 · 06:15M. Kocvara2.75115561L. Heinzl1.4091111113
O. Mezera10
LSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113LSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113LSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153WSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102WSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862LSep 3 · 16:18O. Mezera2.7531111552J. Sr1.40116911113LSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:45J. Sr1.57511111092O. Mezera2.25118812113
Upcoming Matches
M. Kocvara
Nothing scheduled
O. Mezera
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