TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067400
Played Sep 3Finished
Jan Krames Sr
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111181181012911
Ondrej Mezera
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJan Krames Sr to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Krames Sr above · Ondrej Mezera below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 96 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jan Krames Sr at 58.9%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krames Sr 1–1 Ondrej Mezera Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:49What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sr 1651 vs Mezera 1617
Sr
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sr 20% vs Mezera 40%
Mezera
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sr 40% vs Mezera 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sr +1 · Mezera -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 1.57 / Mezera 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Sr)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067400
Sr1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 117 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it89% 63 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it76% 97 of 127
Mezera2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 114 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back32% 46 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back17% 13 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSr1wins
AwayMezera1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSrMezeraS − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match48.045.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrMezeraBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 698 vs 415 / 81755%50.8%384 / 698 vs 415 / 817Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.740.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrSr 1.57/Mezera 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mezera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 3 · 14:45J. Sr—511111092O. Mezera—118812113
WJul 29 · 15:15J. Sr—118911113O. Mezera—41111772
J. Sr10
WSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481WSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113WSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102WSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113WSep 4 · 20:53J. Sr1.7311118113D. Gasparovic2.00761121LSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113
O. Mezera10
LSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113LSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113LSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153WSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102WSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862LSep 3 · 16:18O. Mezera2.7531111552J. Sr1.40116911113LSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342
Upcoming Matches
J. Sr
Nothing scheduled
O. Mezera
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