TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079369
Played Sep 4Finished
Jan Krames Sr
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117116811112––
David Gasparovic
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJan Krames Sr above · David Gasparovic below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 67 set 4, 11-2
67 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krames Sr 8–9 David Gasparovic Jan Krames Sr has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gasparovic)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gasparovic form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 1.73 / Gasparovic 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gasparovic)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13079369
Sr1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 119 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it90% 64 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it78% 99 of 127
Gasparovic2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog77% won 10 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr4wins
AwayGasparovic6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGasparovic leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr60%3 of 5
AwayGasparovic80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr5Gasparovic5n = 10split evenly
S2Sr5Gasparovic5n = 10split evenly
S3Sr5Gasparovic5n = 10split evenly
S4Sr2Gasparovic7n = 9Gasparovic took 7 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrGasparovicS − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.538.8−3.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrGasparovicBasisWin rate · lifetime385 / 699 vs 98 / 16055.1%61.3%385 / 699 vs 98 / 160Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.740.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasparovicSr 1.73/Gasparovic 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gasparovic · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 17:45J. Sr—131173113D. Gasparovic—114111172
LAug 30 · 11:15J. Sr—116681D. Gasparovic—81111113
WAug 28 · 15:45J. Sr—1211113D. Gasparovic—10930
LJul 19 · 11:30J. Sr—114681D. Gasparovic—91111113
WJul 17 · 15:30J. Sr—81111113D. Gasparovic—112881
WJul 10 · 20:44J. Sr—11117113D. Gasparovic—981171
LJul 10 · 18:15J. Sr—7121181D. Gasparovic—11148113
LMay 23 · 17:15J. Sr—914761D. Gasparovic—111211113
LMay 15 · 20:29J. Sr—1011251D. Gasparovic—121110113
LMay 15 · 19:30J. Sr—861181D. Gasparovic—11119113
J. Sr10
WSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481WSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113WSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102WSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113LSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113WSep 4 · 18:15A. Snr1.8361151152J. Sr1.83117117113
D. Gasparovic10
LSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133WSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791LSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111LSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102LSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113WSep 5 · 05:45D. Gasparovic1.361111113L. Veigl3.003930WSep 4 · 19:15A. Snr2.50751191D. Gasparovic1.5011117113WSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.