TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078984
Played Sep 5Finished
David Gasparovic
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113119113––––
Lukas Veigl
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 70.8% is still 70.8%
Graded at full timeDavid Gasparovic to win
70.8%
70.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Gasparovic above · Lukas Veigl below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 48 set 3, 11-3 — our read held David Gasparovic at 70.8%
48 points played in total.
H2H David Gasparovic 4–2 Lukas Veigl Lukas Veigl has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:49What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Gasparovic
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Gasparovic
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gasparovic 1735 vs Veigl 1694
Gasparovic
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gasparovic 60% vs Veigl 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gasparovic 60% vs Veigl 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gasparovic -1 · Veigl -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Gasparovic)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veigl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGasparovic 1.36 / Veigl 3.00
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Gasparovic)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13078984
Gasparovic1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 52 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it76% 34 of 45
Veigl3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 32 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeGasparovic4wins
AwayVeigl2wins
Gasparovic leads 4–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGasparovic100%3 of 3
AwayVeigl66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gasparovic3Veigl3n = 6split evenly
S2Gasparovic3Veigl3n = 6split evenly
S3Gasparovic5Veigl1n = 6Gasparovic took 5 of 6
S4Gasparovic2Veigl1n = 3Gasparovic took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricGasparovicVeiglG − VBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match34.032.0+2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGasparovicVeiglBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 161 vs 273 / 52760.9%51.8%98 / 161 vs 273 / 527Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.140.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasparovicGasparovic 1.36/Veigl 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.8%
Gasparovic · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gasparovic won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WFeb 28 · 13:20D. Gasparovic—1113113L. Veigl—91190
LFeb 28 · 12:15D. Gasparovic—51060L. Veigl—1112113
WFeb 13 · 19:45D. Gasparovic—11711123L. Veigl—9118101
WFeb 1 · 12:00D. Gasparovic—1111113L. Veigl—4960
WJan 18 · 09:50D. Gasparovic—31111123L. Veigl—1177101
LJan 18 · 07:15D. Gasparovic—981191L. Veigl—11114113
D. Gasparovic10
LSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133WSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791LSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111LSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102LSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113LSep 4 · 20:53J. Sr1.7311118113D. Gasparovic2.00761121WSep 4 · 19:15A. Snr2.50751191D. Gasparovic1.5011117113WSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121
L. Veigl10
WSep 7 · 06:45L. Veigl2.3811611113M. Zelinka1.53911951WSep 7 · 05:45L. Veigl2.50111111113L. Heinzl1.50781361WSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153WSep 5 · 18:15L. Veigl1.801111113J. Senk1.917890LSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113WSep 5 · 09:00L. Veigl2.2012611113M. Zelinka1.611011971WSep 5 · 07:45L. Veigl2.10311811113J. Chalupa1.6711911982WSep 5 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.50811881L. Veigl2.5011911113LJul 31 · 08:44O. Kaderabek2.1061111113L. Veigl1.67119881
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