TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079054
Played Sep 5Finished
Lukas Veigl
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118119––––
Jakub Senk
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Veigl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingLukas Veigl above · Jakub Senk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Lukas Veigl at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Veigl 5–5 Jakub Senk Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Veigl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Veigl 1696 vs Senk 1573
Veigl
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Veigl 60% vs Senk 0%
Veigl
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Veigl 60% vs Senk 20%
Veigl
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Veigl -1 · Senk -5
Senk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Veigl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senk form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVeigl 1.80 / Senk 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Veigl)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13079054
Veigl1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 59 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it73% 38 of 52
Senk1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 27 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back49% 16 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back27% 4 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVeigl5wins
AwaySenk5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVeigl60%3 of 5
AwaySenk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Veigl5Senk5n = 10split evenly
S2Veigl7Senk3n = 10Veigl took 7 of 10
S3Veigl2Senk8n = 10Senk took 8 of 10
S4Veigl4Senk5n = 9Senk took 5 of 9
S5Veigl3Senk2n = 5Veigl took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVeiglSenkV − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.543.4+1.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeiglSenkBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 528 vs 147 / 28252.1%52.1%275 / 528 vs 147 / 282Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeiglVeigl 1.80/Senk 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Veigl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Veigl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 22 · 14:45L. Veigl—1131581J. Senk—91117113
LJun 18 · 12:34L. Veigl—511791J. Senk—11711113
LJun 18 · 10:30L. Veigl—111171182J. Senk—591113113
WFeb 28 · 11:45L. Veigl—111110123J. Senk—9612101
WJan 17 · 10:45L. Veigl—811711113J. Senk—11711982
LAug 15 · 08:12L. Veigl—9790J. Senk—1111113
WAug 15 · 05:15L. Veigl—101111133J. Senk—1257111
WJul 28 · 21:00L. Veigl—119117113J. Senk—61161122
LJul 28 · 17:15L. Veigl—1111411202J. Senk—137114223
WJul 8 · 10:15L. Veigl—12171010113J. Senk—1015121242
L. Veigl10
WSep 7 · 05:45L. Veigl2.50111111113L. Heinzl1.50781361WSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153LSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113WSep 5 · 09:00L. Veigl2.2012611113M. Zelinka1.611011971WSep 5 · 07:45L. Veigl2.10311811113J. Chalupa1.6711911982WSep 5 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.50811881L. Veigl2.5011911113LSep 5 · 05:45D. Gasparovic1.361111113L. Veigl3.003930LJul 31 · 08:44O. Kaderabek2.1061111113L. Veigl1.67119881LJul 31 · 07:15L. Veigl2.20711161032L. Dobias1.611131412113
J. Senk10
LSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862LSep 4 · 08:19J. Senk2.107960P. Fencl1.671111113LSep 4 · 07:15P. Fencl1.7311811113J. Senk2.00911781LSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113LSep 4 · 05:45J. Senk1.7311860M. Vyskocil2.001311113LAug 23 · 12:53R. Pisa1.7311119113J. Senk2.00571191WAug 23 · 11:15O. Mezera2.2019760J. Senk1.612111113WAug 23 · 10:45J. Senk2.5011116113M. Kocvara1.50781131
Upcoming Matches
L. Veigl
J. Senk
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.