TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12477814
Played Aug 23Finished
Ondrej Mezera
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1921711611––––
Jakub Senk
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:24 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Senk to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
1921711611––––
H2H Ondrej Mezera 14–13 Jakub Senk Jakub Senk has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:24What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Senk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-13 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mezera 1636 vs Senk 1633
Mezera
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mezera 80% vs Senk 40%
Mezera
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mezera 70% vs Senk 40%
Mezera
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mezera -1 · Senk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Senk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senk form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMezera 2.20 / Senk 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Senk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12477814
Mezera2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 104 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back32% 43 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back17% 12 of 72
Senk1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 48 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it71% 34 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMezera5wins
AwaySenk5wins
8 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMezera66.7%4 of 6
AwaySenk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mezera6Senk4n = 10Mezera took 6 of 10
S2Mezera6Senk4n = 10Mezera took 6 of 10
S3Mezera2Senk8n = 10Senk took 8 of 10
S4Mezera6Senk3n = 9Mezera took 6 of 9
S5Mezera4Senk4n = 8split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMezeraSenkM − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.944.8−1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMezeraSenkBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 823 vs 158 / 29751.6%53.2%425 / 823 vs 158 / 297Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.039.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SenkMezera 2.20/Senk 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Senk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Senk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 11:15O. Mezera—1111113J. Senk—7670
WAug 19 · 14:15O. Mezera—691112113J. Senk—111181062
LJul 22 · 16:48O. Mezera—1510101192J. Senk—1312123113
WJul 22 · 13:15O. Mezera—1191111123J. Senk—711135102
WJun 29 · 05:15O. Mezera—111544113J. Senk—713111192
LJun 24 · 06:15O. Mezera—61171112J. Senk—119117113
WJun 4 · 16:53O. Mezera—115711113J. Senk—91111972
LJun 4 · 13:15O. Mezera—11117252J. Senk—981111113
LMay 30 · 14:15O. Mezera—81171172J. Senk—118116113
LMay 18 · 14:15O. Mezera—911751J. Senk—11811113
O. Mezera10
LSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113LSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113LSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153WSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102WSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862LSep 3 · 16:18O. Mezera2.7531111552J. Sr1.40116911113LSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342
J. Senk10
LSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:15L. Veigl1.801111113J. Senk1.917890LSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862LSep 4 · 08:19J. Senk2.107960P. Fencl1.671111113LSep 4 · 07:15P. Fencl1.7311811113J. Senk2.00911781LSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113LSep 4 · 05:45J. Senk1.7311860M. Vyskocil2.001311113LAug 23 · 12:53R. Pisa1.7311119113J. Senk2.00571191WAug 23 · 10:45J. Senk2.5011116113M. Kocvara1.50781131
Upcoming Matches
O. Mezera
J. Senk
Nothing scheduled
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