TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12477759
Played Aug 23Finished
Jakub Senk
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117118611113––
Martin Kocvara
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:12 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Kocvara to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
117118611113––
H2H Jakub Senk 0–2 Martin Kocvara Jakub Senk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kocvara
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Senk 1633 vs Kocvara 1726
Kocvara
Wrong
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senk 20% vs Kocvara 60%
Kocvara
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senk 30% vs Kocvara 50%
Kocvara
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Senk -3 · Kocvara -2
Senk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kocvara) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senk form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenk 2.50 / Kocvara 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Kocvara)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12477759
Senk2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 26 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back52% 16 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back31% 4 of 13
Kocvara1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 22 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSenk0wins
AwayKocvara2wins
Kocvara leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSenkKocvaraS − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match28.537.5−9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenkKocvaraBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 297 vs 65 / 11253.2%58%158 / 297 vs 65 / 112Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocvaraSenk 2.50/Kocvara 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Kocvara · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Senk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 14 · 12:48J. Senk—51180M. Kocvara—1113113
LJul 14 · 11:45J. Senk—119671M. Kocvara—71111113
J. Senk10
LSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:15L. Veigl1.801111113J. Senk1.917890LSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862LSep 4 · 08:19J. Senk2.107960P. Fencl1.671111113LSep 4 · 07:15P. Fencl1.7311811113J. Senk2.00911781LSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113LSep 4 · 05:45J. Senk1.7311860M. Vyskocil2.001311113LAug 23 · 12:53R. Pisa1.7311119113J. Senk2.00571191WAug 23 · 11:15O. Mezera2.2019760J. Senk1.612111113
M. Kocvara10
WSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481LSep 6 · 10:45L. Adam1.801111113M. Kocvara1.919480WSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 4 · 12:59L. Adam2.201111113M. Kocvara1.617480WSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kocvara1.67115211113L. Adam2.1031111742WSep 4 · 10:00M. Kocvara1.731113123M. Makara2.00611100WSep 1 · 08:21M. Makara2.7551211472M. Kocvara1.401110911113LSep 1 · 07:15M. Kocvara1.6711891172M. Makara2.10911118113
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