TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073264
Played Sep 4Finished
Jakub Senk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113811611––––
Marek Vyskocil
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Vyskocil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Senk above · Marek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 60 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Marek Vyskocil at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Senk 6–4 Marek Vyskocil Marek Vyskocil has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:31What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Senk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Senk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senk 1633 vs Vyskocil 1711
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senk 40% vs Vyskocil 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senk 50% vs Vyskocil 70%
Vyskocil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Senk -1 · Vyskocil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vyskocil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senk form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenk 1.73 / Vyskocil 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vyskocil)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13073264
Senk1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 49 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it71% 35 of 49
Vyskocil2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 31 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back32% 10 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back20% 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenk6wins
AwayVyskocil4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSenk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenk66.7%4 of 6
AwayVyskocil50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senk6Vyskocil4n = 10Senk took 6 of 10
S2Senk4Vyskocil6n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S3Senk6Vyskocil4n = 10Senk took 6 of 10
S4Senk5Vyskocil3n = 8Senk took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenkVyskocilS − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.436.8+0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenkVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 281 vs 223 / 40952.7%54.5%148 / 281 vs 223 / 409Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.540.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilSenk 1.73/Vyskocil 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 14 · 10:15J. Senk—181313113M. Vyskocil—1111111182
WJun 2 · 14:15J. Senk—11114113M. Vyskocil—891181
WJun 1 · 13:45J. Senk—1111113M. Vyskocil—9670
LMay 26 · 13:15J. Senk—7880M. Vyskocil—1111113
WMay 18 · 13:45J. Senk—111411113M. Vyskocil—1312691
WMay 5 · 08:59J. Senk—11911133M. Vyskocil—6115111
LMay 5 · 06:30J. Senk—11911992M. Vyskocil—911511113
LMay 4 · 20:18J. Senk—112761M. Vyskocil—71111113
LMay 4 · 17:45J. Senk—931181M. Vyskocil—11117113
WJul 25 · 07:15J. Senk—11115113M. Vyskocil—641141
J. Senk10
LSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:15L. Veigl1.801111113J. Senk1.917890LSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862LSep 4 · 08:19J. Senk2.107960P. Fencl1.671111113LSep 4 · 07:15P. Fencl1.7311811113J. Senk2.00911781LSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113LAug 23 · 12:53R. Pisa1.7311119113J. Senk2.00571191WAug 23 · 11:15O. Mezera2.2019760J. Senk1.612111113WAug 23 · 10:45J. Senk2.5011116113M. Kocvara1.50781131
M. Vyskocil10
WSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113LSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123WSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113LSep 3 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.83691111102A. Snr1.83111188123LSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133WSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.8091112113R. Pisa1.911131011LSep 2 · 12:44J. Dolezal1.831111910113M. Vyskocil1.8384111282WSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113WSep 2 · 10:45M. Vyskocil1.671111113A. Radkovsky2.108560
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