TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067251
Played Sep 3Finished
Marek Vyskocil
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111131210111––
Radovan Pisa
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Vyskocil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Vyskocil above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 68 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Marek Vyskocil at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Marek Vyskocil 7–6 Radovan Pisa Radovan Pisa has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vyskocil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1704 vs Pisa 1732
Pisa
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 80% vs Pisa 60%
Vyskocil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 80% vs Pisa 50%
Vyskocil
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil -1 · Pisa +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vyskocil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.80 / Pisa 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vyskocil)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067251
Vyskocil1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 70 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it76% 53 of 70
Pisa1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 92 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back29% 32 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVyskocil6wins
AwayPisa4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVyskocil leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskocil66.7%4 of 6
AwayPisa50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil6Pisa4n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S2Vyskocil8Pisa2n = 10Vyskocil took 8 of 10
S3Vyskocil4Pisa6n = 10Pisa took 6 of 10
S4Vyskocil5Pisa1n = 6Vyskocil took 5 of 6
S5Vyskocil1Pisa3n = 4Pisa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVyskocilPisaV − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.137.2+1.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 409 vs 386 / 79954%48.3%221 / 409 vs 386 / 799Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.339.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.80/Pisa 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 14:45M. Vyskocil—11136113R. Pisa—6111181
LAug 4 · 09:45M. Vyskocil—67110R. Pisa—1111133
WAug 3 · 05:15M. Vyskocil—811711113R. Pisa—11511972
WJul 27 · 05:45M. Vyskocil—1111113R. Pisa—8580
LJul 23 · 16:24M. Vyskocil—131381152R. Pisa—1511118113
WJul 23 · 14:45M. Vyskocil—1411113R. Pisa—12850
LJul 23 · 08:13M. Vyskocil—11991152R. Pisa—511118113
WJul 23 · 05:45M. Vyskocil—1111113R. Pisa—6870
LJul 14 · 12:29M. Vyskocil—11115762R. Pisa—891111113
WJul 14 · 11:15M. Vyskocil—61311113R. Pisa—1111981
M. Vyskocil10
WSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113LSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123WSep 4 · 05:45J. Senk1.7311860M. Vyskocil2.001311113WSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113LSep 3 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.83691111102A. Snr1.83111188123LSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133LSep 2 · 12:44J. Dolezal1.831111910113M. Vyskocil1.8384111282WSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113WSep 2 · 10:45M. Vyskocil1.671111113A. Radkovsky2.108560
R. Pisa10
LSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113LSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990WSep 3 · 18:45A. Snr1.571011731R. Pisa2.2512611113WSep 2 · 20:48R. Pisa1.8311129113M. Ullman1.833101191WSep 2 · 19:45R. Pisa1.7311118113J. Dolezal2.00381181LSep 2 · 18:15M. Ullman1.831191112113R. Pisa1.8391161462WSep 2 · 17:45S. Rejent1.83118571R. Pisa1.8361111113LAug 31 · 08:23L. Heinzl1.67111214113R. Pisa2.108101671LAug 31 · 07:15R. Pisa1.7311111011122M. Makara2.00813127143WAug 31 · 06:15R. Pisa2.2081411113L. Heinzl1.611112981
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