TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061842
Played Sep 2Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116811511711––
Radovan Pisa
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadovan Pisa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Radovan Pisa at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 43–61 Radovan Pisa Stepan Rejent has won 43 of their 104 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:33What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Pisa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-61 in 104
Pisa
Correct
gap of 18 in 104, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1649 vs Pisa 1721
Pisa
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 20% vs Pisa 40%
Pisa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 50% vs Pisa 30%
Rejent
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent -3 · Pisa -2
Rejent
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pisa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 1.83 / Pisa 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pisa)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13061842
Rejent1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Pisa1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRejent5wins
AwayPisa5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent66.7%4 of 6
AwayPisa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent6Pisa4n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S2Rejent3Pisa7n = 10Pisa took 7 of 10
S3Rejent3Pisa7n = 10Pisa took 7 of 10
S4Rejent6Pisa2n = 8Rejent took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRejentPisaR − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.536.5−1.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 766 vs 383 / 79547.5%48.2%364 / 766 vs 383 / 795Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PisaRejent 1.83/Pisa 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pisa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 15:45S. Rejent—7840R. Pisa—1111113
LAug 18 · 18:45S. Rejent—11461142R. Pisa—411119113
LAug 11 · 16:14S. Rejent—7156111R. Pisa—111311133
LAug 11 · 14:15S. Rejent—9960R. Pisa—1111113
WJul 23 · 13:15S. Rejent—11611133R. Pisa—2112111
WJul 2 · 18:45S. Rejent—14411113R. Pisa—1211851
WJun 11 · 13:30S. Rejent—911711113R. Pisa—11911842
LMay 26 · 19:00S. Rejent—114931R. Pisa—61111113
WMay 14 · 14:30S. Rejent—11511123R. Pisa—8118101
WMay 3 · 11:30S. Rejent—11118113R. Pisa—641131
S. Rejent10
LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123LSep 3 · 13:45J. Sr1.441111113S. Rejent2.635960LSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732WSep 2 · 19:15M. Ullman2.10911101172S. Rejent1.67116124113
R. Pisa10
LSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113LSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990WSep 3 · 18:45A. Snr1.571011731R. Pisa2.2512611113LSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.8091112113R. Pisa1.911131011WSep 2 · 20:48R. Pisa1.8311129113M. Ullman1.833101191WSep 2 · 19:45R. Pisa1.7311118113J. Dolezal2.00381181LSep 2 · 18:15M. Ullman1.831191112113R. Pisa1.8391161462LAug 31 · 08:23L. Heinzl1.67111214113R. Pisa2.108101671LAug 31 · 07:15R. Pisa1.7311111011122M. Makara2.00813127143WAug 31 · 06:15R. Pisa2.2081411113L. Heinzl1.611112981
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