TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067413
Played Sep 3Finished
Adam Radkovsky
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5119111012––––
Stepan Rejent
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeStepan Rejent to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Radkovsky above · Stepan Rejent below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 58 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Stepan Rejent at 58.5%
58 points played in total.
H2H Adam Radkovsky 0–1 Stepan Rejent Adam Radkovsky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:49What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Rejent
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Radkovsky 1652 vs Rejent 1647
Radkovsky
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radkovsky 60% vs Rejent 40%
Radkovsky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radkovsky 50% vs Rejent 30%
Radkovsky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Radkovsky +2 · Rejent -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rejent)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rejent form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadkovsky 2.20 / Rejent 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Rejent)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067413
Radkovsky2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 35 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back27% 7 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Rejent1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 83 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it75% 57 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRadkovsky0wins
AwayRejent1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderRejent leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRadkovskyRejentRadkovsky − RejentBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.050.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadkovskyRejentBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 313 vs 366 / 77056.9%47.5%178 / 313 vs 366 / 770Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentRadkovsky 2.20/Rejent 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rejent won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 26 · 14:45A. Radkovsky—11115682S. Rejent—891111113
A. Radkovsky10
WSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:15A. Radkovsky2.001191111113J. Sr1.7381191392WSep 3 · 13:15A. Radkovsky1.671111113O. Mezera2.106660WSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:45J. Dolezal1.5311511133A. Radkovsky2.388116111LSep 2 · 10:45M. Vyskocil1.671111113A. Radkovsky2.108560WSep 2 · 09:15V. Grubr1.61691181A. Radkovsky2.2011117113LSep 1 · 12:23T. Liska1.5391111123A. Radkovsky2.381176101LSep 1 · 11:15V. Grubr1.67611511113A. Radkovsky2.1011611792LSep 1 · 10:45A. Radkovsky2.10711571T. Liska1.6711611113
S. Rejent10
LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342LSep 3 · 13:45J. Sr1.441111113S. Rejent2.635960LSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732WSep 2 · 19:15M. Ullman2.10911101172S. Rejent1.67116124113WSep 2 · 18:45S. Rejent1.67111114123J. Dolezal2.1013212101
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