TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061363
Played Sep 2Finished
Miloslav Ullman
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111161012114711
Stepan Rejent
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:44 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeStepan Rejent to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMiloslav Ullman above · Stepan Rejent below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 92 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Stepan Rejent at 59.4%
92 points played in total.
H2H Miloslav Ullman 19–25 Stepan Rejent Miloslav Ullman has won 19 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:44What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rejent
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-25 in 44
Rejent
Correct
gap of 6 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ullman 1616 vs Rejent 1650
Rejent
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ullman 40% vs Rejent 20%
Ullman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ullman 40% vs Rejent 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ullman +2 · Rejent +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rejent)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rejent form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUllman 2.10 / Rejent 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Rejent)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13061363
Ullman2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 39 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back25% 13 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Rejent1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 81 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it76% 56 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUllman3wins
AwayRejent7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRejent leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUllman66.7%2 of 3
AwayRejent85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ullman3Rejent7n = 10Rejent took 7 of 10
S2Ullman4Rejent6n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S3Ullman3Rejent7n = 10Rejent took 7 of 10
S4Ullman3Rejent4n = 7Rejent took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricUllmanRejentU − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.238.7−4.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUllmanRejentBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 403 vs 365 / 76846.7%47.5%188 / 403 vs 365 / 768Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentUllman 2.10/Rejent 1.67
Hit
What we said
59.4%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rejent won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 1 · 07:30M. Ullman—6980S. Rejent—1111113
WJun 4 · 20:18M. Ullman—111195113S. Rejent—48111162
LJun 4 · 18:45M. Ullman—511791S. Rejent—11911113
LMay 27 · 18:45M. Ullman—111050S. Rejent—1312113
LMay 18 · 20:13M. Ullman—10790S. Rejent—1211113
WMay 18 · 18:45M. Ullman—11911113S. Rejent—411891
WMay 4 · 21:04M. Ullman—81211113S. Rejent—1110891
LMay 4 · 20:00M. Ullman—411101132S. Rejent—115129113
LApr 10 · 18:30M. Ullman—9101131S. Rejent—11128113
LMar 24 · 19:30M. Ullman—113991S. Rejent—91111113
M. Ullman10
LSep 2 · 20:48R. Pisa1.8311129113M. Ullman1.833101191WSep 2 · 18:15M. Ullman1.831191112113R. Pisa1.8391161462WSep 2 · 17:15M. Ullman1.73711511113J. Dolezal2.0011611682WAug 27 · 08:18P. Fencl1.73917781M. Ullman2.00111511113LAug 27 · 07:15M. Ullman1.7311148392M. Vyskocil2.009121111113LAug 27 · 06:15M. Ullman1.83713118112V. Grubr1.831111411133LAug 27 · 05:15M. Ullman1.738480P. Fencl2.001111113WAug 10 · 08:43M. Makara1.7311711422M. Ullman2.00811611113LAug 10 · 07:45M. Ullman2.00113791M. Makara1.7361111113LAug 10 · 06:15L. Rulc1.73811712113M. Ullman2.00115111062
S. Rejent10
LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123LSep 3 · 13:45J. Sr1.441111113S. Rejent2.635960LSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732WSep 2 · 18:45S. Rejent1.67111114123J. Dolezal2.1013212101
Upcoming Matches
M. Ullman
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S. Rejent
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