TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023215
Played Aug 27Finished
Miloslav Ullman
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191412811311911
Marek Vyskocil
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiloslav Ullman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiloslav Ullman above · Marek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 99 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Miloslav Ullman at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Miloslav Ullman 1–1 Marek Vyskocil Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:03What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ullman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ullman 1590 vs Vyskocil 1656
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ullman 20% vs Vyskocil 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ullman 30% vs Vyskocil 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ullman -2 · Vyskocil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vyskocil) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUllman 1.73 / Vyskocil 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vyskocil)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13023215
Ullman1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 23 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it64% 16 of 25
Vyskocil2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog52% won 30 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back36% 11 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeUllman1wins
AwayVyskocil1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricUllmanVyskocilU − VBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match51.555.0−3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUllmanVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 402 vs 219 / 40846.5%53.7%187 / 402 vs 219 / 408Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.140.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilUllman 1.73/Vyskocil 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 27 · 07:15M. Ullman—11148392M. Vyskocil—9121111113
WJun 29 · 18:15M. Ullman—12101311123M. Vyskocil—1012159102
M. Ullman10
LSep 2 · 20:48R. Pisa1.8311129113M. Ullman1.833101191LSep 2 · 19:15M. Ullman2.10911101172S. Rejent1.67116124113WSep 2 · 18:15M. Ullman1.831191112113R. Pisa1.8391161462WSep 2 · 17:15M. Ullman1.73711511113J. Dolezal2.0011611682WAug 27 · 08:18P. Fencl1.73917781M. Ullman2.00111511113LAug 27 · 06:15M. Ullman1.83713118112V. Grubr1.831111411133LAug 27 · 05:15M. Ullman1.738480P. Fencl2.001111113WAug 10 · 08:43M. Makara1.7311711422M. Ullman2.00811611113LAug 10 · 07:45M. Ullman2.00113791M. Makara1.7361111113LAug 10 · 06:15L. Rulc1.73811712113M. Ullman2.00115111062
M. Vyskocil10
WSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113LSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123WSep 4 · 05:45J. Senk1.7311860M. Vyskocil2.001311113WSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113LSep 3 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.83691111102A. Snr1.83111188123LSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133WSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.8091112113R. Pisa1.911131011LSep 2 · 12:44J. Dolezal1.831111910113M. Vyskocil1.8384111282WSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113
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